Start Caleb Williams or Matthew Stafford? Week 9
Updated Nov 3, 4:51 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Latest
- : Matthew Stafford: Listed Questionable (Arm) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams
Stafford projects lower, 17.8 to 18.0, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 75 for Stafford, 87 for Williams.
- Market projects
- 17.8
- recent weeks avg
- WAS D vs QB
- 22.7
- 2nd most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 98%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 18.0
- recent weeks avg
- TB D vs QB
- 14.7
- 6th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 7
Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Caleb Williams?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams. So make the move after his Week 9 game. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.
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Our Week 9 call
Start Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Matthew Stafford at 17.8 points and Caleb Williams at 18.0, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Matthew Stafford still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 75 against 87, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Matthew Stafford this week yet, so his 17.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (21.1, 16.5 and 15.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Caleb Williams this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (18.0, 18.5 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 9 player market is posted for Caleb Williams yet. His market-based projections were 18.0, 18.5 and 17.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
No Week 9 player market is posted for Matthew Stafford yet. His market-based projections were 21.1, 16.5 and 15.7 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 17.8, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
That puts Caleb Williams 0.3 points ahead of Matthew Stafford on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
Caleb Williams and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
TB allowed 14.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 6th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 234 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against TB, with 1.1 interceptions a game.
Matthew Stafford and LAR visit WAS on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
WAS allowed 22.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 266 yards and 2-3 touchdowns a game against WAS, with 0.5 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Matthew Stafford has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.
Matthew Stafford is listed as questionable with a arm injury.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 7, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.
Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.
Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.
Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.
Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.
Through Week 8, Matthew Stafford played 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 316 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.
Matthew Stafford, Week 5 against BUF: 82 of 82 snaps, 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 58 of 58 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Matthew Stafford, Week 7 against LV: 72 of 72 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Matthew Stafford, Week 8 against LAC: 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.
He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.
He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Caleb Williams?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams. So make the move after his Week 9 game. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Matthew Stafford?
No. Keep Caleb Williams: he projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.
Should I drop Matthew Stafford?
Week 9 on the board
- Is Caleb Williams playing Week 9?
- Is Matthew Stafford playing Week 9?
- Bears depth chart
- Rams depth chart
- Week 9 QB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings