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Should I start Tyler Shough or Caleb Williams in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 11:01 AM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

QB · CHI · vs TB

Market projects
18.8
fantasy pts
TB D vs QB
13.1
4th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
66 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · NO · vs CLE

Market projects
16.3
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
14.2
7th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 7
Start Williams or Shough? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Caleb Williams over Tyler Shough in Week 9. Shough faces CLE, which allows the 7th fewest fantasy points to QBs.

Should I drop Caleb Williams for Tyler Shough?

Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Tyler Shough 151 (16.8 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Tyler Shough.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB16 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 5-2

Overall rank
110

QB17 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 4-1

Market-based projection
17.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
119

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The gap

  • Board size301 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Shough, and the board ranks him 110th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 24.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 119th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tyler Shough is 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tyler Shough's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 7, Tyler Shough has been on the field for 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 296 times and thrown 7.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 42 of 296 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 5 against MIN he completed 16 of 25 passes for 96 yards and threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

In Week 6 against NYG he completed 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 33 yards.

In Week 7 against PIT he completed 30 of 38 passes for 278 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 7 yards.

Through Week 8, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 186 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 186 dropbacks and scrambled 15 times.

In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.

In Week 7 against NE he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.

In Week 8 against SEA he completed 24 of 34 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Shough played 11 games and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He threw for 2384 yards on 327 attempts with 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 29.7 attempts a game at 7.3 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams was available for 6 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Caleb Williams scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Tyler Shough 14.9, 4.2 a game between them.

Tyler Shough finished QB26 that year and Caleb Williams QB5.

Caleb Williams had 241 more pass attempts than Tyler Shough, 568 to 327.

Caleb Williams had 1558 more passing yards than Tyler Shough, 3942 to 2384.

This season Tyler Shough holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 97 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Tyler Shough is off in Week 8 and Caleb Williams in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Caleb Williams for Tyler Shough?

    Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Tyler Shough 151 (16.8 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Tyler Shough.

  • Should I drop Tyler Shough for Caleb Williams?

    Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Shough projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 9 games) and Caleb Williams 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Tyler Shough.

Should I drop Tyler Shough?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

Next duels