Should I start Derrick Henry or Tyler Allgeier in Week 8?
Updated Oct 27, 2:26 PM ET. Week 9 answers post Tuesday.
Start Derrick Henry: 55 percent of the snaps and 69 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Tyler Allgeier's 49 percent of the snaps and 38 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Derrick Henry?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games).
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
RB5 · BAL · bye 13
2026 vs carries line 4-3
- Market-based projection
- 16.3 pts a game Wk 7 price
- Overall rank
- 29
RB36 · ARI · bye 14
2026 vs carries line 3-4
- Market-based projection
- 9.1 pts a game Wk 7 price
- Overall rank
- 132
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The gap
- Board size293 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Derrick Henry, and the board ranks him 29th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Allgeier, and the board ranks him 132nd overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 6.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 2.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Derrick Henry's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 7
Through Week 7, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 57 percent of BAL snaps, taken 71 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 1 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 15 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 44 two minute targets.
His 12 targets have come 3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.
In Week 5 against ATL he carried 24 times for 102 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 18 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 6 against CLE he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.
In Week 7 against CIN he carried 17 times for 45 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.
Through Week 7, Tyler Allgeier has been on the field for 50 percent of ARI snaps, taken 34 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 5 of the offence's 76 third down targets, had 2 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 45 two minute targets.
His 17 targets have come 2.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.
In Week 5 against DET he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and did not score.
In Week 6 against LAR he carried 18 times for 38 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.
In Week 7 against DEN he carried 8 times for 19 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 30 yards and did not score.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.
He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.
That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.
He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Tyler Allgeier played 17 games and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.
He carried 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 more yards.
That came to 8.4 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 0.8 catches a game.
He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Both were available for 17 games that season.
Head to head
In 2025 Derrick Henry scored 16.4 PPR points a game and Tyler Allgeier 7.2, 9.2 a game between them.
Derrick Henry finished RB8 that year and Tyler Allgeier RB39.
Derrick Henry had 164 more carries than Tyler Allgeier, 307 to 143.
Derrick Henry had 1 more catches than Tyler Allgeier, 15 to 14.
This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger snap share, 57 percent against 50 percent.
This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger share of the carries, 71 percent against 34 percent.
Byes and availability
Derrick Henry is off in Week 13 and Tyler Allgeier in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Derrick Henry?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games).
Should I drop Derrick Henry for Tyler Allgeier?
No. Keep Derrick Henry: he projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games).
Should I drop Derrick Henry?Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?
Both players in full
Week 8 on the board
- Is Derrick Henry playing Week 8?
- Is Tyler Allgeier playing Week 8?
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- Week 8 waiver wire
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- Start 'em sit 'em Week 8
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