Start Kyler Murray or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 9
Updated Nov 4, 5:06 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Madrid, set your lineup before then.
Latest
- : Kyler Murray: Listed Questionable (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Kyler Murray over Michael Penix Jr.
- Market projects
- 16.5
- fantasy pts
- BUF D vs QB
- 19.0
- 11th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 86%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 14.8
- fantasy pts
- CIN D vs QB
- 18.4
- 14th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Kyler Murray?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 9 games), Michael Penix Jr. 119 (14.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyler Murray over Michael Penix Jr., 16.5 to 14.9 projected PPR points. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.
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Michael Penix Jr. rookie cards
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Our Week 9 call
Start Kyler Murray over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Kyler Murray at 16.5 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 14.8, a gap of 1.7.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 212 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 0-1 interceptions, 18 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (6, 6, 5, 6 and 8 market sources).
Player markets imply 14.9 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Michael Penix Jr. is 221 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 5 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (14, 14, 3 and 12 market sources).
That puts Kyler Murray 1.7 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the market projections.
Week 9 matchups
Kyler Murray and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
BUF allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 11th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against BUF, with 0.6 interceptions a game.
Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host CIN on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.
CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Kyler Murray is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.
Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 8, Kyler Murray played 86 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 184 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.
Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.
Kyler Murray, Week 5 against NO: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 54 yards.
Kyler Murray, Week 7 against IND: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 41 yards.
Kyler Murray, Week 8 against DET: 53 of 53 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 36 yards.
Through Week 8, Michael Penix Jr. played 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 59 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.
Michael Penix Jr., Week 7 against SF: 68 of 69 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.
Michael Penix Jr., Week 8 against TB: 53 of 53 snaps, 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, 5 carries for 11 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.
He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.
He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Kyler Murray?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 9 games), Michael Penix Jr. 119 (14.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyler Murray over Michael Penix Jr., 16.5 to 14.9 projected PPR points. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.
Should I drop Kyler Murray for Michael Penix Jr.?
No. Keep Kyler Murray: he projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 9 games), Michael Penix Jr. 119 (14.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyler Murray over Michael Penix Jr., 16.5 to 14.9 projected PPR points. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.
Should I drop Kyler Murray?Should I drop Michael Penix Jr.?
Week 9 on the board
- Is Kyler Murray playing Week 9?
- Is Michael Penix Jr. playing Week 9?
- Vikings depth chart
- Falcons depth chart
- Week 9 QB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings