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Aaron Gordon vs Darius Garland: who to start in Week 2

Aaron Gordon plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Darius Garland 3. For that week alone, start Darius Garland: 96.7 projected fantasy points to 84.4 for Aaron Gordon. Over the season, Darius Garland leads in both formats: 32.2 fantasy points a game to 28.1, and 121st against 123rd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 27, 6:32 PM ET.

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Aaron Gordon
PFCDENage 31
Points leagues
#101
28.1 FP/G, slot 9.05, $9
9-cat leagues
#123
-1.8 z, slot 11.03, $5
Darius Garland
PGLACage 26
Points leagues
#65
32.2 FP/G, slot 6.05, $15
9-cat leagues
#121
-1.8 z, slot 11.01, $5

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Darius Garland. 32.2 fantasy points per game against 28.1, 65th on our board to 101st.

9-cat leagues: Darius Garland again, -1.8 in summed z-scores against -1.8 (121st to 123rd).

Category by category, Aaron Gordon is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Darius Garland in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Darius Garland produces more: 37.8 fantasy points to 35.8, on 30.7 minutes a night against 28.3. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Aaron Gordon plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Darius Garland 3. For that week alone, start Darius Garland: 96.7 projected fantasy points to 84.4 for Aaron Gordon.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAaron GordonDarius Garland
Fantasy points per game28.132.2
Minutes28.330.7
PointsPTS15.419.6
ReboundsREB5.72.3
AssistsAST2.66.7
StealsSTL0.80.9
BlocksBLK0.30.1
Threes3PM1.62.8
Field goal %FG%47.7%46.6%
Free throw %FT%76.7%82.0%
TurnoversTO1.13.4
Games, 2025-263645

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Aaron GordonDarius Garland
Fantasy points35.837.8
Points19.523.1
Rebounds7.22.7
Assists3.37.9
Steals1.01.1
Blocks0.40.2
Threes2.13.2
Turnovers1.44.0

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAaron GordonDarius Garland
PointsPTS-0.2+0.6
ReboundsREB+0.0-1.6
AssistsAST-0.5+1.6
StealsSTL-0.7-0.3
BlocksBLK-0.8-1.1
Threes3PM-0.0+1.2
Field goal percentageFG%-0.1-0.5
Free throw percentageFT%-0.4+0.2
TurnoversTO+1.0-1.9
Total-1.8-1.8

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Aaron Gordon.

PuntAaron GordonDarius Garland
PTS-1.7 (#151)-2.4 (#194)
REB-2.1 (#141)-0.2 (#65)
AST-1.4 (#121)-3.6 (#217)
STL-1.2 (#107)-1.6 (#126)
BLK-1.2 (#99)-0.6 (#81)
3PM-1.8 (#132)-3.2 (#190)
FG%-2.1 (#123)-1.3 (#95)
FT%-1.5 (#115)-2.2 (#149)
TO-2.8 (#132)+0.1 (#61)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)

  • Aaron Gordon: 3 games (Mon GSW, Wed @NOP, Fri @PHX).
  • Darius Garland: 3 games (Wed LAL, Fri @MIN, Sun @GSW).

Every team's games this week · Week 2 streamers

Recent games

  • Aaron Gordon: 25.5 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 28.1 on the board.
  • Darius Garland: 32.5 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 32.2 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Aaron Gordon playing tonight? · Is Darius Garland playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Aaron Gordon, Darius Garland

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Aaron Gordon or Darius Garland?

    Points leagues: Darius Garland. 32.2 fantasy points per game against 28.1, 65th on our board to 101st. 9-cat leagues: Darius Garland again, -1.8 in summed z-scores against -1.8 (121st to 123rd).

  • Who wins more categories, Aaron Gordon or Darius Garland?

    Category by category, Aaron Gordon is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Darius Garland in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 2, Aaron Gordon or Darius Garland?

    Aaron Gordon plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Darius Garland 3. For that week alone, start Darius Garland: 96.7 projected fantasy points to 84.4 for Aaron Gordon.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 6:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number