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Aaron Gordon vs DeMar DeRozan: who to start in Week 1

Aaron Gordon plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), DeMar DeRozan 2. For that week alone, start DeMar DeRozan: 58.0 projected fantasy points to 57.6 for Aaron Gordon. Over the season, DeMar DeRozan leads in points leagues (29.0 fantasy points a game to 28.8) and Aaron Gordon in 9-cat leagues (106th against 113th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 8:28 AM ET.

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Aaron Gordon
PFCDENage 31
Points leagues
#96
28.8 FP/G, slot 8.12, $10
9-cat leagues
#106
-1.5 z, slot 9.10, $7

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

DeMar DeRozan
SFPFSGDENage 37
Points leagues
#95
29.0 FP/G, slot 8.11, $10
9-cat leagues
#113
-1.6 z, slot 10.05, $6

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: DeMar DeRozan. 29.0 fantasy points per game against 28.8, 95th on our board to 96th.

9-cat leagues: Aaron Gordon instead, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.6 (106th to 113th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Aaron Gordon is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, 3PM and TO) and DeMar DeRozan in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, FG% and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Aaron Gordon produces more: 36.4 fantasy points to 34.1, on 28.5 minutes a night against 30.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Aaron Gordon plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), DeMar DeRozan 2. For that week alone, start DeMar DeRozan: 58.0 projected fantasy points to 57.6 for Aaron Gordon.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAaron GordonDeMar DeRozan
Fantasy points per game28.829.0
Minutes28.530.6
PointsPTS15.917.7
ReboundsREB5.82.9
AssistsAST2.63.8
StealsSTL0.80.9
BlocksBLK0.30.3
Threes3PM1.70.5
Field goal %FG%49.2%49.4%
Free throw %FT%75.8%85.0%
TurnoversTO1.11.5
Games, 2025-263677

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Aaron GordonDeMar DeRozan
Fantasy points36.434.1
Points20.020.8
Rebounds7.33.4
Assists3.34.5
Steals0.91.1
Blocks0.40.3
Threes2.20.6
Turnovers1.41.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAaron GordonDeMar DeRozan
PointsPTS-0.1+0.3
ReboundsREB+0.0-1.3
AssistsAST-0.5+0.1
StealsSTL-0.8-0.3
BlocksBLK-0.8-0.9
Threes3PM+0.1-1.1
Field goal percentageFG%+0.1+0.2
Free throw percentageFT%-0.6+0.9
TurnoversTO+0.9+0.5
Total-1.5-1.6

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks, threes, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to DeMar DeRozan.

PuntAaron GordonDeMar DeRozan
PTS-1.5 (#133)-1.9 (#157)
REB-1.7 (#125)-0.4 (#69)
AST-1.1 (#107)-1.8 (#137)
STL-0.8 (#88)-1.4 (#118)
BLK-1.0 (#88)-0.9 (#87)
3PM-1.6 (#123)-0.6 (#81)
FG%-2.1 (#125)-2.1 (#124)
FT%-1.0 (#93)-2.6 (#163)
TO-2.5 (#124)-2.2 (#115)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Aaron Gordon: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).
  • DeMar DeRozan: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).

Aaron Gordon or DeMar DeRozan: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Aaron Gordon: 29.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 28.8 on the board.
  • DeMar DeRozan: 14.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 29.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Aaron Gordon playing tonight? · Is DeMar DeRozan playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Aaron Gordon, DeMar DeRozan

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Aaron Gordon or DeMar DeRozan?

    Points leagues: DeMar DeRozan. 29.0 fantasy points per game against 28.8, 95th on our board to 96th. 9-cat leagues: Aaron Gordon instead, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.6 (106th to 113th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Aaron Gordon or DeMar DeRozan?

    Category by category, Aaron Gordon is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, 3PM and TO) and DeMar DeRozan in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, FG% and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Aaron Gordon or DeMar DeRozan?

    Aaron Gordon plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), DeMar DeRozan 2. For that week alone, start DeMar DeRozan: 58.0 projected fantasy points to 57.6 for Aaron Gordon.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 8:28 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number