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Aaron Gordon vs Jaime Jaquez Jr.: who to start in Week 1

Aaron Gordon plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jaime Jaquez Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 88.2 projected fantasy points to 58.2 for Aaron Gordon. Over the season, Jaime Jaquez Jr. leads in points leagues (29.4 fantasy points a game to 29.1) and Aaron Gordon in 9-cat leagues (95th against 154th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 23, 3:53 PM ET.

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Aaron Gordon
PFCDENage 31
Points leagues
#94
29.1 FP/G, slot 8.10, $10
9-cat leagues
#95
-1.1 z, slot 8.11, $9

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.
PFSFSGMILage 25
Points leagues
#92
29.4 FP/G, slot 8.08, $11
9-cat leagues
#154
-2.5 z, slot 13.10, $2

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Jaime Jaquez Jr.. 29.4 fantasy points per game against 29.1, 92nd on our board to 94th.

9-cat leagues: Aaron Gordon instead, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (95th to 154th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Aaron Gordon is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Jaime Jaquez Jr. in 3 (AST, FG% and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Aaron Gordon produces more: 37.4 fantasy points to 37.2, on 28.0 minutes a night against 28.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Aaron Gordon plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jaime Jaquez Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 88.2 projected fantasy points to 58.2 for Aaron Gordon.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAaron GordonJaime Jaquez Jr.
Fantasy points per game29.129.4
Minutes28.028.4
PointsPTS16.415.8
ReboundsREB5.85.1
AssistsAST2.64.5
StealsSTL0.70.6
BlocksBLK0.30.3
Threes3PM1.80.8
Field goal %FG%50.6%51.7%
Free throw %FT%77.2%77.6%
TurnoversTO1.12.0
Games, 2025-263675

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Aaron GordonJaime Jaquez Jr.
Fantasy points37.437.2
Points21.120.0
Rebounds7.56.5
Assists3.35.7
Steals0.90.8
Blocks0.40.3
Threes2.31.0
Turnovers1.42.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAaron GordonJaime Jaquez Jr.
PointsPTS-0.0-0.1
ReboundsREB+0.0-0.3
AssistsAST-0.5+0.5
StealsSTL-1.0-1.1
BlocksBLK-0.7-0.9
Threes3PM+0.1-0.9
Field goal percentageFG%+0.4+0.6
Free throw percentageFT%-0.4-0.2
TurnoversTO+0.9-0.2
Total-1.1-2.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Aaron Gordon stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntAaron GordonJaime Jaquez Jr.
PTS-1.2 (#119)-2.5 (#189)
REB-1.4 (#112)-2.4 (#156)
AST-0.7 (#83)-3.1 (#204)
STL-0.3 (#71)-1.5 (#119)
BLK-0.6 (#76)-1.8 (#123)
3PM-1.4 (#107)-1.8 (#128)
FG%-1.9 (#114)-3.6 (#187)
FT%-0.9 (#90)-2.4 (#154)
TO-2.2 (#118)-2.5 (#122)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Aaron Gordon: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3 games (Wed @WAS, Fri CHI, Sat @PHI), 1 back-to-back.

Aaron Gordon or Jaime Jaquez Jr.: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Aaron Gordon: 35.7 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 29.1 on the board.
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 31.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 29.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Aaron Gordon playing tonight? · Is Jaime Jaquez Jr. playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Aaron Gordon

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Aaron Gordon or Jaime Jaquez Jr.?

    Points leagues: Jaime Jaquez Jr.. 29.4 fantasy points per game against 29.1, 92nd on our board to 94th. 9-cat leagues: Aaron Gordon instead, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (95th to 154th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Aaron Gordon or Jaime Jaquez Jr.?

    Category by category, Aaron Gordon is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Jaime Jaquez Jr. in 3 (AST, FG% and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Aaron Gordon or Jaime Jaquez Jr.?

    Aaron Gordon plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jaime Jaquez Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 88.2 projected fantasy points to 58.2 for Aaron Gordon.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 23, 2026 at 3:53 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number