Aaron Gordon vs Paul Reed: who to start in Week 3
Aaron Gordon plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Aaron Gordon: 83.7 projected fantasy points to 67.9 for Paul Reed. Over the season, Aaron Gordon leads in points leagues (27.9 fantasy points a game to 22.6) and Paul Reed in 9-cat leagues (130th against 131st). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #114
- 27.9 FP/G, slot 10.06, $7
- 9-cat leagues
- #131
- -2.0 z, slot 11.11, $4
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #169
- 22.6 FP/G, slot 15.01
- 9-cat leagues
- #130
- -2.0 z, slot 11.10, $4
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Aaron Gordon. 27.9 fantasy points per game against 22.6, 114th on our board to 169th.
9-cat leagues: Paul Reed instead, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (130th to 131st), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Aaron Gordon is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 3 (STL, BLK and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Paul Reed produces more: 45.3 fantasy points to 35.1, on 18.0 minutes a night against 28.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Aaron Gordon plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Aaron Gordon: 83.7 projected fantasy points to 67.9 for Paul Reed.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Aaron Gordon | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 27.9 | 22.6 |
| Minutes | 28.6 | 18.0 |
| PointsPTS | 14.8 | 9.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| AssistsAST | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 46.4% | 63.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 78.9% | 69.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 36 | 65 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Aaron Gordon | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 35.1 | 45.3 |
| Points | 18.7 | 19.1 |
| Rebounds | 7.4 | 10.4 |
| Assists | 3.4 | 3.0 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 2.0 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Threes | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.5 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Aaron Gordon | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.3 | -1.3 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.0 | -0.3 |
| AssistsAST | -0.5 | -1.2 |
| StealsSTL | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | +0.5 |
| Threes3PM | -0.1 | -1.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.3 | +1.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | -0.7 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.0 | +1.0 |
| Total | -2.0 | -2.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Aaron Gordon.
| Punt | Aaron Gordon | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.6 (#150) | -0.7 (#89) |
| REB | -2.2 (#144) | -1.9 (#129) |
| AST | -1.5 (#123) | -0.9 (#88) |
| STL | -1.2 (#104) | -1.9 (#142) |
| BLK | -1.4 (#110) | -2.7 (#156) |
| 3PM | -1.9 (#139) | -0.6 (#79) |
| FG% | -1.9 (#124) | -3.8 (#199) |
| FT% | -1.8 (#130) | -1.2 (#102) |
| TO | -3.0 (#145) | -3.1 (#147) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Aaron Gordon: 3 games (Mon POR, Wed TOR, Sat @IND).
- Paul Reed: 3 games (Mon @CHA, Wed PHI, Sun LAL).
Recent games
- Aaron Gordon: 25.9 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 27.9 on the board.
- Paul Reed: 29.7 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 22.6 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Aaron Gordon playing tonight? · Is Paul Reed playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Aaron Gordon
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Aaron Gordon or Paul Reed?
Points leagues: Aaron Gordon. 27.9 fantasy points per game against 22.6, 114th on our board to 169th. 9-cat leagues: Paul Reed instead, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (130th to 131st), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Aaron Gordon or Paul Reed?
Category by category, Aaron Gordon is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 3 (STL, BLK and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Aaron Gordon or Paul Reed?
Aaron Gordon plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Aaron Gordon: 83.7 projected fantasy points to 67.9 for Paul Reed.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number