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Ajay Mitchell vs Collin Gillespie: who to start in Week 1

Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Collin Gillespie 2. For that week alone, start Ajay Mitchell: 77.5 projected fantasy points to 52.6 for Collin Gillespie. Over the season, Collin Gillespie leads in both formats: 26.3 fantasy points a game to 25.8, and 104th against 105th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 23, 9:56 AM ET.

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Ajay Mitchell
PGSGOKCage 24
Points leagues
#130
25.8 FP/G, slot 11.10, $5
9-cat leagues
#105
-1.3 z, slot 9.09, $8
Collin Gillespie
PGSGPHXage 27
Points leagues
#122
26.3 FP/G, slot 11.02, $6
9-cat leagues
#104
-1.3 z, slot 9.08, $8

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Collin Gillespie. 26.3 fantasy points per game against 25.8, 122nd on our board to 130th.

9-cat leagues: Collin Gillespie again, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (104th to 105th).

Category by category, Ajay Mitchell is ahead in 5 (PTS, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Collin Gillespie in 3 (REB, AST and 3PM).

Per 36 minutes, Ajay Mitchell produces more: 36.4 fantasy points to 33.8, on 25.5 minutes a night against 28.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Collin Gillespie 2. For that week alone, start Ajay Mitchell: 77.5 projected fantasy points to 52.6 for Collin Gillespie.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAjay MitchellCollin Gillespie
Fantasy points per game25.826.3
Minutes25.528.1
PointsPTS12.911.9
ReboundsREB3.23.9
AssistsAST3.54.5
StealsSTL1.41.4
BlocksBLK0.30.2
Threes3PM0.92.7
Field goal %FG%47.2%39.8%
Free throw %FT%87.6%82.3%
TurnoversTO1.51.7
Games, 2025-265780

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Ajay MitchellCollin Gillespie
Fantasy points36.433.8
Points18.215.2
Rebounds4.65.0
Assists5.05.7
Steals2.01.8
Blocks0.50.2
Threes1.33.5
Turnovers2.12.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAjay MitchellCollin Gillespie
PointsPTS-0.6-0.8
ReboundsREB-1.2-0.9
AssistsAST-0.0+0.4
StealsSTL+1.0+1.1
BlocksBLK-0.7-1.0
Threes3PM-0.7+1.1
Field goal percentageFG%-0.2-1.5
Free throw percentageFT%+0.6+0.1
TurnoversTO+0.5+0.2
Total-1.3-1.3

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, assists, steals and threes flips the 9-cat answer to Ajay Mitchell.

PuntAjay MitchellCollin Gillespie
PTS-0.7 (#95)-0.6 (#86)
REB-0.2 (#62)-0.5 (#73)
AST-1.3 (#117)-1.8 (#141)
STL-2.4 (#160)-2.5 (#164)
BLK-0.7 (#79)-0.4 (#68)
3PM-0.7 (#88)-2.5 (#158)
FG%-1.2 (#95)+0.3 (#55)
FT%-2.0 (#135)-1.5 (#115)
TO-1.9 (#106)-1.5 (#95)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Ajay Mitchell: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC).
  • Collin Gillespie: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).

Ajay Mitchell or Collin Gillespie: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Ajay Mitchell: 22.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 25.8 on the board.
  • Collin Gillespie: 12.2 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 26.3 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Ajay Mitchell playing tonight? · Is Collin Gillespie playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Ajay Mitchell, Collin Gillespie

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ajay Mitchell or Collin Gillespie?

    Points leagues: Collin Gillespie. 26.3 fantasy points per game against 25.8, 122nd on our board to 130th. 9-cat leagues: Collin Gillespie again, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (104th to 105th).

  • Who wins more categories, Ajay Mitchell or Collin Gillespie?

    Category by category, Ajay Mitchell is ahead in 5 (PTS, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Collin Gillespie in 3 (REB, AST and 3PM).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Ajay Mitchell or Collin Gillespie?

    Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Collin Gillespie 2. For that week alone, start Ajay Mitchell: 77.5 projected fantasy points to 52.6 for Collin Gillespie.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 23, 2026 at 9:56 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number