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Alex Sarr vs Fred VanVleet: who to start in Week 3

Alex Sarr plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Fred VanVleet 3. For that week alone, start Fred VanVleet: 97.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Alex Sarr. Over the season, Alex Sarr leads in points leagues (32.5 fantasy points a game to 32.4) and Fred VanVleet in 9-cat leagues (32nd against 62nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET.

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Alex Sarr
CPFWASage 21OUT
Points leagues
#72
32.5 FP/G, slot 6.12, $14
9-cat leagues
#62
-0.1 z, slot 6.02, $15

Out (Knee)

The pick in points leagues.

Fred VanVleet
PGHOUage 32
Points leagues
#74
32.4 FP/G, slot 7.02, $14
9-cat leagues
#32
+1.3 z, slot 3.08, $23

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Alex Sarr. 32.5 fantasy points per game against 32.4, 72nd on our board to 74th.

9-cat leagues: Fred VanVleet instead, +1.3 in summed z-scores against -0.1 (32nd to 62nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FG%) and Fred VanVleet in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Alex Sarr produces more: 43.8 fantasy points to 38.4, on 26.7 minutes a night against 30.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Alex Sarr plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Fred VanVleet 3. For that week alone, start Fred VanVleet: 97.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Alex Sarr.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAlex SarrFred VanVleet
Fantasy points per game32.532.4
Minutes26.730.4
PointsPTS14.313.0
ReboundsREB6.94.0
AssistsAST2.66.4
StealsSTL0.91.8
BlocksBLK1.70.2
Threes3PM0.92.4
Field goal %FG%48.9%37.5%
Free throw %FT%69.9%84.6%
TurnoversTO1.61.0
Games, 2025-26480

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Alex SarrFred VanVleet
Fantasy points43.838.4
Points19.315.4
Rebounds9.34.7
Assists3.47.6
Steals1.22.1
Blocks2.30.2
Threes1.32.8
Turnovers2.21.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAlex SarrFred VanVleet
PointsPTS-0.4-0.6
ReboundsREB+0.4-0.8
AssistsAST-0.6+1.3
StealsSTL-0.5+2.0
BlocksBLK+2.0-1.0
Threes3PM-0.8+0.7
Field goal percentageFG%+0.1-1.9
Free throw percentageFT%-0.9+0.4
TurnoversTO+0.4+1.2
Total-0.1+1.3

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, steals and threes flips the 9-cat answer to Alex Sarr.

PuntAlex SarrFred VanVleet
PTS+0.2 (#54)+1.9 (#17)
REB-0.8 (#92)+2.1 (#23)
AST+0.4 (#46)-0.2 (#60)
STL+0.2 (#54)-0.7 (#80)
BLK-2.4 (#147)+2.3 (#22)
3PM+0.6 (#43)+0.5 (#46)
FG%-0.7 (#80)+3.2 (#16)
FT%+0.7 (#41)+0.9 (#39)
TO-0.7 (#78)+0.1 (#62)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.

Week 3 (Nov 2-8)

  • Alex Sarr: 4 games (Mon @ORL, Wed ATL, Fri @ATL, Sat @OKC), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
  • Fred VanVleet: 3 games (Mon BOS, Wed MIN, Sat @PHX).

Every team's games this week · Week 3 streamers

Recent games

  • Alex Sarr: 23.8 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 32.5 on the board.
  • Fred VanVleet: 31.3 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 32.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Alex Sarr playing tonight? · Is Fred VanVleet playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Alex Sarr

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Alex Sarr or Fred VanVleet?

    Points leagues: Alex Sarr. 32.5 fantasy points per game against 32.4, 72nd on our board to 74th. 9-cat leagues: Fred VanVleet instead, +1.3 in summed z-scores against -0.1 (32nd to 62nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Alex Sarr or Fred VanVleet?

    Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FG%) and Fred VanVleet in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 3, Alex Sarr or Fred VanVleet?

    Alex Sarr plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Fred VanVleet 3. For that week alone, start Fred VanVleet: 97.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Alex Sarr.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number