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Alex Sarr vs LaMelo Ball: who to start in Week 3

Alex Sarr plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), LaMelo Ball 4. For that week alone, start LaMelo Ball: 141.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Alex Sarr. Over the season, LaMelo Ball leads in both formats: 35.4 fantasy points a game to 32.5, and 60th against 62nd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET.

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Alex Sarr
CPFWASage 21OUT
Points leagues
#72
32.5 FP/G, slot 6.12, $14
9-cat leagues
#62
-0.1 z, slot 6.02, $15

Out (Knee)

LaMelo Ball
PGMINage 25
Points leagues
#53
35.4 FP/G, slot 5.05, $19
9-cat leagues
#60
-0.0 z, slot 5.12, $15

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: LaMelo Ball. 35.4 fantasy points per game against 32.5, 53rd on our board to 72nd.

9-cat leagues: LaMelo Ball again, -0.0 in summed z-scores against -0.1 (60th to 62nd).

Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and LaMelo Ball in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, LaMelo Ball produces more: 47.0 fantasy points to 43.8, on 27.1 minutes a night against 26.7. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Alex Sarr plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), LaMelo Ball 4. For that week alone, start LaMelo Ball: 141.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Alex Sarr.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAlex SarrLaMelo Ball
Fantasy points per game32.535.4
Minutes26.727.1
PointsPTS14.318.3
ReboundsREB6.94.3
AssistsAST2.66.9
StealsSTL0.91.4
BlocksBLK1.70.2
Threes3PM0.93.5
Field goal %FG%48.9%40.3%
Free throw %FT%69.9%85.2%
TurnoversTO1.63.1
Games, 2025-264872

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Alex SarrLaMelo Ball
Fantasy points43.847.0
Points19.324.3
Rebounds9.35.8
Assists3.49.1
Steals1.21.9
Blocks2.30.2
Threes1.34.6
Turnovers2.24.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAlex SarrLaMelo Ball
PointsPTS-0.4+0.3
ReboundsREB+0.4-0.6
AssistsAST-0.6+1.6
StealsSTL-0.5+0.9
BlocksBLK+2.0-1.0
Threes3PM-0.8+1.9
Field goal percentageFG%+0.1-1.9
Free throw percentageFT%-0.9+0.4
TurnoversTO+0.4-1.4
Total-0.1-0.0

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Alex Sarr.

PuntAlex SarrLaMelo Ball
PTS+0.2 (#54)-0.4 (#78)
REB-0.8 (#92)+0.8 (#39)
AST+0.4 (#46)-1.7 (#137)
STL+0.2 (#54)-0.9 (#91)
BLK-2.4 (#147)+1.1 (#35)
3PM+0.6 (#43)-2.0 (#148)
FG%-0.7 (#80)+2.2 (#26)
FT%+0.7 (#41)-0.6 (#78)
TO-0.7 (#78)+1.5 (#39)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.

Week 3 (Nov 2-8)

  • Alex Sarr: 4 games (Mon @ORL, Wed ATL, Fri @ATL, Sat @OKC), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
  • LaMelo Ball: 4 games (Mon MIL, Wed @HOU, Fri @NOP, Sun UTA).

Every team's games this week · Week 3 streamers

Recent games

  • Alex Sarr: 23.8 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 32.5 on the board.
  • LaMelo Ball: 31.7 fantasy points a game over his last 8 of 2026-27, against 35.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Alex Sarr playing tonight? · Is LaMelo Ball playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Alex Sarr, LaMelo Ball

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Alex Sarr or LaMelo Ball?

    Points leagues: LaMelo Ball. 35.4 fantasy points per game against 32.5, 53rd on our board to 72nd. 9-cat leagues: LaMelo Ball again, -0.0 in summed z-scores against -0.1 (60th to 62nd).

  • Who wins more categories, Alex Sarr or LaMelo Ball?

    Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and LaMelo Ball in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 3, Alex Sarr or LaMelo Ball?

    Alex Sarr plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), LaMelo Ball 4. For that week alone, start LaMelo Ball: 141.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Alex Sarr.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number