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Andre Drummond vs De'Anthony Melton: who to start in Week 1

Andre Drummond plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), De'Anthony Melton 3. For that week alone, start Andre Drummond: 69.0 projected fantasy points to 68.9 for De'Anthony Melton. Over the season, Andre Drummond leads in both formats: 23.0 fantasy points a game to 23.0, and 182nd against 183rd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET.

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Andre Drummond
CNYKage 33
Points leagues
#157
23.0 FP/G, slot 14.01
9-cat leagues
#182
-3.3 z, slot 16.02

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

De'Anthony Melton
SGPGGSWage 28
Points leagues
#159
23.0 FP/G, slot 14.03
9-cat leagues
#183
-3.3 z, slot 16.03

The call

Points leagues: Andre Drummond. 23.0 fantasy points per game against 23.0, 157th on our board to 159th.

9-cat leagues: Andre Drummond again, -3.3 in summed z-scores against -3.3 (182nd to 183rd).

Category by category, Andre Drummond is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and De'Anthony Melton in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Andre Drummond produces more: 41.8 fantasy points to 36.2, on 19.8 minutes a night against 22.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Andre Drummond plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), De'Anthony Melton 3. For that week alone, start Andre Drummond: 69.0 projected fantasy points to 68.9 for De'Anthony Melton.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAndre DrummondDe'Anthony Melton
Fantasy points per game23.023.0
Minutes19.822.8
PointsPTS6.711.5
ReboundsREB8.83.1
AssistsAST1.42.5
StealsSTL0.61.5
BlocksBLK0.90.4
Threes3PM0.51.4
Field goal %FG%46.0%40.2%
Free throw %FT%60.9%82.6%
TurnoversTO0.91.9
Games, 2025-266349

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Andre DrummondDe'Anthony Melton
Fantasy points41.836.2
Points12.318.2
Rebounds16.05.0
Assists2.64.0
Steals1.12.4
Blocks1.60.6
Threes0.92.2
Turnovers1.62.9

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAndre DrummondDe'Anthony Melton
PointsPTS-1.7-0.9
ReboundsREB+1.4-1.2
AssistsAST-1.1-0.6
StealsSTL-1.1+1.4
BlocksBLK+0.4-0.6
Threes3PM-1.2-0.3
Field goal percentageFG%-0.3-1.4
Free throw percentageFT%-0.9+0.2
TurnoversTO+1.2-0.0
Total-3.3-3.3

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to De'Anthony Melton.

PuntAndre DrummondDe'Anthony Melton
PTS-1.6 (#140)-2.5 (#191)
REB-5.0 (#296)-2.2 (#147)
AST-2.1 (#158)-2.8 (#189)
STL-2.2 (#152)-4.8 (#283)
BLK-4.0 (#233)-2.8 (#165)
3PM-2.0 (#140)-3.1 (#186)
FG%-3.6 (#185)-2.0 (#122)
FT%-2.3 (#149)-3.5 (#194)
TO-4.7 (#197)-3.3 (#147)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Andre Drummond: 3 games (Tue PHI, Fri @BOS, Sun ORL).
  • De'Anthony Melton: 3 games (Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Andre Drummond: 43.8 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 23.0 on the board.
  • De'Anthony Melton: 6.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 23.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Andre Drummond playing tonight? · Is De'Anthony Melton playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Andre Drummond or De'Anthony Melton?

    Points leagues: Andre Drummond. 23.0 fantasy points per game against 23.0, 157th on our board to 159th. 9-cat leagues: Andre Drummond again, -3.3 in summed z-scores against -3.3 (182nd to 183rd).

  • Who wins more categories, Andre Drummond or De'Anthony Melton?

    Category by category, Andre Drummond is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and De'Anthony Melton in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Andre Drummond or De'Anthony Melton?

    Andre Drummond plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), De'Anthony Melton 3. For that week alone, start Andre Drummond: 69.0 projected fantasy points to 68.9 for De'Anthony Melton.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number