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Andrew Nembhard vs Bilal Coulibaly: who to start in Week 1

Andrew Nembhard plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Bilal Coulibaly 3. For that week alone, start Andrew Nembhard: 97.2 projected fantasy points to 79.1 for Bilal Coulibaly. Over the season, Andrew Nembhard leads in points leagues (32.4 fantasy points a game to 26.4) and Bilal Coulibaly in 9-cat leagues (102nd against 104th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 6:26 AM ET.

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Andrew Nembhard
PGSGINDage 26
Points leagues
#62
32.4 FP/G, slot 6.02, $15
9-cat leagues
#104
-1.3 z, slot 9.08, $8

The pick in points leagues.

Bilal Coulibaly
SFPFWASage 22
Points leagues
#118
26.4 FP/G, slot 10.10, $7
9-cat leagues
#102
-1.3 z, slot 9.06, $8

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Andrew Nembhard. 32.4 fantasy points per game against 26.4, 62nd on our board to 118th.

9-cat leagues: Bilal Coulibaly instead, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (102nd to 104th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Andrew Nembhard is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, 3PM, FG% and FT%) and Bilal Coulibaly in 4 (REB, STL, BLK and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Andrew Nembhard produces more: 37.0 fantasy points to 36.0, on 31.5 minutes a night against 26.4. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Andrew Nembhard plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Bilal Coulibaly 3. For that week alone, start Andrew Nembhard: 97.2 projected fantasy points to 79.1 for Bilal Coulibaly.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAndrew NembhardBilal Coulibaly
Fantasy points per game32.426.4
Minutes31.526.4
PointsPTS17.011.6
ReboundsREB2.74.3
AssistsAST7.62.3
StealsSTL0.91.4
BlocksBLK0.11.0
Threes3PM1.71.1
Field goal %FG%45.0%43.2%
Free throw %FT%84.0%76.0%
TurnoversTO2.31.3
Games, 2025-265756

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Andrew NembhardBilal Coulibaly
Fantasy points37.036.0
Points19.415.9
Rebounds3.15.9
Assists8.73.2
Steals1.01.9
Blocks0.11.4
Threes2.01.6
Turnovers2.61.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAndrew NembhardBilal Coulibaly
PointsPTS+0.1-0.8
ReboundsREB-1.4-0.7
AssistsAST+2.0-0.6
StealsSTL-0.3+1.1
BlocksBLK-1.2+0.7
Threes3PM+0.1-0.5
Field goal percentageFG%-0.8-0.8
Free throw percentageFT%+0.6-0.4
TurnoversTO-0.5+0.7
Total-1.3-1.3

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, steals, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Andrew Nembhard.

PuntAndrew NembhardBilal Coulibaly
PTS-1.5 (#133)-0.5 (#82)
REB-0.0 (#53)-0.8 (#84)
AST-3.4 (#214)-0.7 (#87)
STL-1.1 (#100)-2.4 (#161)
BLK-0.2 (#65)-2.3 (#146)
3PM-1.5 (#117)-0.8 (#87)
FG%-0.7 (#79)-0.8 (#82)
FT%-2.0 (#143)-0.9 (#93)
TO-0.8 (#73)-2.1 (#113)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Andrew Nembhard: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
  • Bilal Coulibaly: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Andrew Nembhard: 31.4 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 32.4 on the board.
  • Bilal Coulibaly: 27.0 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 26.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Andrew Nembhard playing tonight? · Is Bilal Coulibaly playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Bilal Coulibaly

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Andrew Nembhard or Bilal Coulibaly?

    Points leagues: Andrew Nembhard. 32.4 fantasy points per game against 26.4, 62nd on our board to 118th. 9-cat leagues: Bilal Coulibaly instead, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (102nd to 104th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Andrew Nembhard or Bilal Coulibaly?

    Category by category, Andrew Nembhard is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, 3PM, FG% and FT%) and Bilal Coulibaly in 4 (REB, STL, BLK and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Andrew Nembhard or Bilal Coulibaly?

    Andrew Nembhard plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Bilal Coulibaly 3. For that week alone, start Andrew Nembhard: 97.2 projected fantasy points to 79.1 for Bilal Coulibaly.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 6:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number