Andrew Nembhard vs Damian Lillard: who to start in Week 3
Andrew Nembhard plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Damian Lillard 4. For that week alone, start Damian Lillard: 127.5 projected fantasy points to 96.8 for Andrew Nembhard. Over the season, Andrew Nembhard leads in both formats: 32.3 fantasy points a game to 31.9, and 113th against 136th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #72
- 32.3 FP/G, slot 6.12, $14
- 9-cat leagues
- #113
- -1.5 z, slot 10.05, $7
Day to day (Neck)
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #75
- 31.9 FP/G, slot 7.03, $13
- 9-cat leagues
- #136
- -2.0 z, slot 12.04, $4
The call
Points leagues: Andrew Nembhard. 32.3 fantasy points per game against 31.9, 72nd on our board to 75th.
9-cat leagues: Andrew Nembhard again, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (113th to 136th).
Category by category, Andrew Nembhard is ahead in 3 (AST, FG% and FT%) and Damian Lillard in 6 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Damian Lillard produces more: 39.3 fantasy points to 36.6, on 29.2 minutes a night against 31.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Andrew Nembhard plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Damian Lillard 4. For that week alone, start Damian Lillard: 127.5 projected fantasy points to 96.8 for Andrew Nembhard.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Andrew Nembhard | Damian Lillard |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 32.3 | 31.9 |
| Minutes | 31.7 | 29.2 |
| PointsPTS | 17.4 | 19.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.6 | 4.3 |
| AssistsAST | 7.6 | 4.0 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Threes3PM | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.4% | 39.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 84.4% | 80.5% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 57 | 0 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Andrew Nembhard | Damian Lillard |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 36.6 | 39.3 |
| Points | 19.7 | 23.9 |
| Rebounds | 3.0 | 5.3 |
| Assists | 8.6 | 4.9 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Threes | 2.3 | 3.5 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 2.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Andrew Nembhard | Damian Lillard |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.1 | +0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.4 | -0.6 |
| AssistsAST | +1.9 | +0.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.2 | -1.0 |
| Threes3PM | +0.4 | +1.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.7 | -1.8 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.6 | +0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.6 | -0.3 |
| Total | -1.5 | -2.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting assists and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Damian Lillard.
| Punt | Andrew Nembhard | Damian Lillard |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.7 (#151) | -2.6 (#196) |
| REB | -0.1 (#65) | -1.5 (#117) |
| AST | -3.6 (#221) | -2.3 (#164) |
| STL | -1.0 (#94) | -1.9 (#145) |
| BLK | -0.4 (#73) | -1.1 (#101) |
| 3PM | -2.0 (#145) | -3.2 (#203) |
| FG% | -0.7 (#85) | -0.4 (#69) |
| FT% | -2.2 (#153) | -2.2 (#158) |
| TO | -0.9 (#84) | -1.8 (#105) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Andrew Nembhard: 3 games (Mon ATL, Wed @MEM, Sat DEN), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
- Damian Lillard: 4 games (Mon @DEN, Wed @PHX, Fri @LAL, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back.
Andrew Nembhard or Damian Lillard: the Week 3 start/sit call
Recent games
- Andrew Nembhard: 31.6 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 32.3 on the board.
- Damian Lillard: 31.9 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 31.9 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Andrew Nembhard playing tonight? · Is Damian Lillard playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Andrew Nembhard or Damian Lillard?
Points leagues: Andrew Nembhard. 32.3 fantasy points per game against 31.9, 72nd on our board to 75th. 9-cat leagues: Andrew Nembhard again, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (113th to 136th).
Who wins more categories, Andrew Nembhard or Damian Lillard?
Category by category, Andrew Nembhard is ahead in 3 (AST, FG% and FT%) and Damian Lillard in 6 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Andrew Nembhard or Damian Lillard?
Andrew Nembhard plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Damian Lillard 4. For that week alone, start Damian Lillard: 127.5 projected fantasy points to 96.8 for Andrew Nembhard.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number