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Ausar Thompson vs Franz Wagner: who to start in Week 3

Ausar Thompson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Franz Wagner 3. For that week alone, start Franz Wagner: 104.8 projected fantasy points to 85.9 for Ausar Thompson. Over the season, Franz Wagner leads in points leagues (34.9 fantasy points a game to 28.6) and Ausar Thompson in 9-cat leagues (113th against 125th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET.

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Ausar Thompson
SGSFDETage 23
Points leagues
#107
28.6 FP/G, slot 9.11, $8
9-cat leagues
#113
-1.5 z, slot 10.05, $6

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Franz Wagner
SFPFORLage 25
Points leagues
#56
34.9 FP/G, slot 5.08, $18
9-cat leagues
#125
-1.8 z, slot 11.05, $5

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Franz Wagner. 34.9 fantasy points per game against 28.6, 56th on our board to 107th.

9-cat leagues: Ausar Thompson instead, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.8 (113th to 125th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Ausar Thompson is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO) and Franz Wagner in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Franz Wagner produces more: 39.9 fantasy points to 39.5, on 31.6 minutes a night against 26.1. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Ausar Thompson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Franz Wagner 3. For that week alone, start Franz Wagner: 104.8 projected fantasy points to 85.9 for Ausar Thompson.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAusar ThompsonFranz Wagner
Fantasy points per game28.634.9
Minutes26.131.6
PointsPTS9.620.3
ReboundsREB6.15.6
AssistsAST3.64.6
StealsSTL1.80.9
BlocksBLK0.90.2
Threes3PM0.11.3
Field goal %FG%52.6%45.4%
Free throw %FT%57.7%81.0%
TurnoversTO1.82.5
Games, 2025-267334

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Ausar ThompsonFranz Wagner
Fantasy points39.539.9
Points13.223.2
Rebounds8.56.4
Assists5.05.3
Steals2.51.0
Blocks1.20.3
Threes0.11.5
Turnovers2.52.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAusar ThompsonFranz Wagner
PointsPTS-1.2+0.7
ReboundsREB+0.1-0.1
AssistsAST-0.1+0.4
StealsSTL+2.0-0.4
BlocksBLK+0.3-0.9
Threes3PM-1.7-0.4
Field goal percentageFG%+0.5-0.7
Free throw percentageFT%-1.8+0.2
TurnoversTO+0.2-0.6
Total-1.5-1.8

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, steals, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Franz Wagner.

PuntAusar ThompsonFranz Wagner
PTS-0.4 (#79)-2.5 (#198)
REB-2.0 (#135)-1.9 (#130)
AST-1.7 (#136)-2.4 (#165)
STL-3.6 (#227)-1.5 (#117)
BLK-2.1 (#140)-1.1 (#100)
3PM+0.2 (#49)-1.5 (#117)
FG%-2.8 (#153)-1.5 (#108)
FT%+0.3 (#48)-2.1 (#148)
TO-1.9 (#112)-1.2 (#94)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.

Week 3 (Nov 2-8)

  • Ausar Thompson: 3 games (Mon @CHA, Wed PHI, Sun LAL).
  • Franz Wagner: 3 games (Mon WAS, Thu @PHX, Sat @GSW), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 3 streamers

Recent games

  • Ausar Thompson: 28.3 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 28.6 on the board.
  • Franz Wagner: 37.4 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 34.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Ausar Thompson playing tonight? · Is Franz Wagner playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Ausar Thompson, Franz Wagner

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ausar Thompson or Franz Wagner?

    Points leagues: Franz Wagner. 34.9 fantasy points per game against 28.6, 56th on our board to 107th. 9-cat leagues: Ausar Thompson instead, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.8 (113th to 125th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Ausar Thompson or Franz Wagner?

    Category by category, Ausar Thompson is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO) and Franz Wagner in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 3, Ausar Thompson or Franz Wagner?

    Ausar Thompson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Franz Wagner 3. For that week alone, start Franz Wagner: 104.8 projected fantasy points to 85.9 for Ausar Thompson.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number