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Ausar Thompson vs Naji Marshall: who to start in Week 1

Ausar Thompson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Naji Marshall 3. For that week alone, start Ausar Thompson: 84.9 projected fantasy points to 84.7 for Naji Marshall. Over the season, Ausar Thompson leads in both formats: 28.3 fantasy points a game to 28.2, and 85th against 143rd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 4:26 AM ET.

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Ausar Thompson
SGSFDETage 23DTD
Points leagues
#98
28.3 FP/G, slot 9.02, $9
9-cat leagues
#85
-1.0 z, slot 8.01, $10

Day to day (Undisclosed)

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Naji Marshall
SFPFSGDALage 28
Points leagues
#99
28.2 FP/G, slot 9.03, $9
9-cat leagues
#143
-2.2 z, slot 12.11, $3

The call

Points leagues: Ausar Thompson. 28.3 fantasy points per game against 28.2, 98th on our board to 99th.

9-cat leagues: Ausar Thompson again, -1.0 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (85th to 143rd).

Category by category, Ausar Thompson is ahead in 3 (REB, STL and BLK) and Naji Marshall in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Ausar Thompson produces more: 39.1 fantasy points to 34.3, on 26.0 minutes a night against 29.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Ausar Thompson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Naji Marshall 3. For that week alone, start Ausar Thompson: 84.9 projected fantasy points to 84.7 for Naji Marshall.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAusar ThompsonNaji Marshall
Fantasy points per game28.328.2
Minutes26.029.7
PointsPTS9.615.3
ReboundsREB5.94.5
AssistsAST3.33.6
StealsSTL1.91.2
BlocksBLK0.90.1
Threes3PM0.10.9
Field goal %FG%51.9%50.6%
Free throw %FT%60.1%75.2%
TurnoversTO1.71.7
Games, 2025-267374

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Ausar ThompsonNaji Marshall
Fantasy points39.134.3
Points13.318.5
Rebounds8.15.5
Assists4.64.3
Steals2.61.5
Blocks1.20.1
Threes0.11.0
Turnovers2.32.0

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAusar ThompsonNaji Marshall
PointsPTS-1.2-0.2
ReboundsREB+0.1-0.6
AssistsAST-0.1-0.0
StealsSTL+2.3+0.5
BlocksBLK+0.4-1.3
Threes3PM-1.6-0.8
Field goal percentageFG%+0.4+0.4
Free throw percentageFT%-1.5-0.5
TurnoversTO+0.2+0.3
Total-1.0-2.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals and blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Naji Marshall.

PuntAusar ThompsonNaji Marshall
PTS+0.1 (#56)-2.0 (#168)
REB-1.4 (#112)-1.8 (#127)
AST-0.9 (#96)-2.3 (#167)
STL-3.3 (#204)-2.8 (#174)
BLK-1.7 (#119)-1.1 (#93)
3PM+0.6 (#43)-1.5 (#113)
FG%-2.2 (#132)-3.1 (#159)
FT%+0.6 (#46)-1.7 (#123)
TO-1.3 (#89)-2.5 (#125)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Ausar Thompson: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI), listed DTD.
  • Naji Marshall: 3 games (Wed @HOU, Fri @IND, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back.

Ausar Thompson or Naji Marshall: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Ausar Thompson: 24.2 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 28.3 on the board.
  • Naji Marshall: 32.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 28.2 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Ausar Thompson playing tonight? · Is Naji Marshall playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Ausar Thompson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ausar Thompson or Naji Marshall?

    Points leagues: Ausar Thompson. 28.3 fantasy points per game against 28.2, 98th on our board to 99th. 9-cat leagues: Ausar Thompson again, -1.0 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (85th to 143rd).

  • Who wins more categories, Ausar Thompson or Naji Marshall?

    Category by category, Ausar Thompson is ahead in 3 (REB, STL and BLK) and Naji Marshall in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Ausar Thompson or Naji Marshall?

    Ausar Thompson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Naji Marshall 3. For that week alone, start Ausar Thompson: 84.9 projected fantasy points to 84.7 for Naji Marshall.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 4:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number