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Brandon Miller vs Saddiq Bey: who to start in Week 1

Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Miller: 98.4 projected fantasy points to 87.1 for Saddiq Bey. Over the season, Brandon Miller leads in points leagues (32.8 fantasy points a game to 29.0) and Saddiq Bey in 9-cat leagues (79th against 80th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 8:28 AM ET.

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Brandon Miller
SFPFSGCHAage 23
Points leagues
#62
32.8 FP/G, slot 6.02, $16
9-cat leagues
#80
-0.9 z, slot 7.08, $10

The pick in points leagues.

Saddiq Bey
SFPFNOPage 27
Points leagues
#91
29.0 FP/G, slot 8.07, $10
9-cat leagues
#79
-0.8 z, slot 7.07, $11

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Brandon Miller. 32.8 fantasy points per game against 29.0, 62nd on our board to 91st.

9-cat leagues: Saddiq Bey instead, -0.8 in summed z-scores against -0.9 (79th to 80th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Brandon Miller is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Saddiq Bey in 3 (REB, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Brandon Miller produces more: 38.8 fantasy points to 34.9, on 30.5 minutes a night against 29.9. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Miller: 98.4 projected fantasy points to 87.1 for Saddiq Bey.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameBrandon MillerSaddiq Bey
Fantasy points per game32.829.0
Minutes30.529.9
PointsPTS20.017.3
ReboundsREB4.85.3
AssistsAST3.12.3
StealsSTL1.00.8
BlocksBLK0.70.1
Threes3PM3.02.1
Field goal %FG%40.6%45.7%
Free throw %FT%88.7%83.9%
TurnoversTO2.61.1
Games, 2025-266572

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Brandon MillerSaddiq Bey
Fantasy points38.834.9
Points23.720.8
Rebounds5.76.4
Assists3.62.8
Steals1.11.0
Blocks0.90.2
Threes3.62.6
Turnovers3.11.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryBrandon MillerSaddiq Bey
PointsPTS+0.7+0.2
ReboundsREB-0.4-0.2
AssistsAST-0.3-0.6
StealsSTL-0.2-0.5
BlocksBLK+0.1-1.1
Threes3PM+1.4+0.5
Field goal percentageFG%-2.2-0.6
Free throw percentageFT%+1.0+0.5
TurnoversTO-1.0+1.0
Total-0.9-0.8

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Brandon Miller.

PuntBrandon MillerSaddiq Bey
PTS-1.5 (#138)-1.1 (#110)
REB-0.4 (#68)-0.7 (#83)
AST-0.7 (#82)-0.3 (#63)
STL-0.7 (#82)-0.4 (#72)
BLK-1.0 (#92)+0.1 (#54)
3PM-2.4 (#164)-1.4 (#110)
FG%+1.7 (#32)-0.3 (#70)
FT%-2.0 (#143)-1.5 (#115)
TO+0.1 (#59)-1.9 (#104)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Brandon Miller: 3 games (Wed @BKN, Fri ATL, Sat MIA), 1 back-to-back.
  • Saddiq Bey: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Brandon Miller: 28.7 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 32.8 on the board.
  • Saddiq Bey: 22.8 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 29.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Brandon Miller playing tonight? · Is Saddiq Bey playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Brandon Miller

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brandon Miller or Saddiq Bey?

    Points leagues: Brandon Miller. 32.8 fantasy points per game against 29.0, 62nd on our board to 91st. 9-cat leagues: Saddiq Bey instead, -0.8 in summed z-scores against -0.9 (79th to 80th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Brandon Miller or Saddiq Bey?

    Category by category, Brandon Miller is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Saddiq Bey in 3 (REB, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Brandon Miller or Saddiq Bey?

    Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Miller: 98.4 projected fantasy points to 87.1 for Saddiq Bey.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 8:28 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number