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Brandon Miller vs Zion Williamson: who to start in Week 3

Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Zion Williamson 4. For that week alone, start Zion Williamson: 144.0 projected fantasy points to 106.8 for Brandon Miller. Over the season, Zion Williamson leads in points leagues (36.0 fantasy points a game to 35.6) and Brandon Miller in 9-cat leagues (51st against 54th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET.

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Brandon Miller
SFPFSGCHAage 23
Points leagues
#52
35.6 FP/G, slot 5.04, $19
9-cat leagues
#51
+0.3 z, slot 5.03, $17

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Zion Williamson
PFSFNOPage 26
Points leagues
#48
36.0 FP/G, slot 4.12, $20
9-cat leagues
#54
+0.2 z, slot 5.06, $17

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Zion Williamson. 36.0 fantasy points per game against 35.6, 48th on our board to 52nd.

9-cat leagues: Brandon Miller instead, +0.3 in summed z-scores against +0.2 (51st to 54th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Brandon Miller is ahead in 4 (PTS, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Zion Williamson in 3 (STL, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Zion Williamson produces more: 42.8 fantasy points to 40.7, on 30.3 minutes a night against 31.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Zion Williamson 4. For that week alone, start Zion Williamson: 144.0 projected fantasy points to 106.8 for Brandon Miller.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameBrandon MillerZion Williamson
Fantasy points per game35.636.0
Minutes31.530.3
PointsPTS21.520.9
ReboundsREB5.35.3
AssistsAST3.03.0
StealsSTL1.11.6
BlocksBLK0.80.5
Threes3PM3.20.2
Field goal %FG%41.1%61.2%
Free throw %FT%87.2%71.9%
TurnoversTO2.62.2
Games, 2025-266562

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Brandon MillerZion Williamson
Fantasy points40.742.8
Points24.624.9
Rebounds6.16.3
Assists3.43.6
Steals1.31.9
Blocks0.90.6
Threes3.60.2
Turnovers2.92.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryBrandon MillerZion Williamson
PointsPTS+0.9+0.8
ReboundsREB-0.2-0.2
AssistsAST-0.4-0.4
StealsSTL+0.2+1.4
BlocksBLK+0.2-0.3
Threes3PM+1.5-1.6
Field goal percentageFG%-2.0+2.6
Free throw percentageFT%+0.9-1.9
TurnoversTO-0.8-0.3
Total+0.3+0.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting blocks, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Zion Williamson.

PuntBrandon MillerZion Williamson
PTS-0.6 (#85)-0.7 (#90)
REB+0.6 (#44)+0.1 (#58)
AST+0.6 (#40)+0.3 (#48)
STL+0.1 (#57)-1.5 (#118)
BLK+0.1 (#60)+0.3 (#53)
3PM-1.4 (#113)+1.7 (#30)
FG%+2.5 (#21)-3.3 (#177)
FT%-0.7 (#81)+1.9 (#27)
TO+1.1 (#46)+0.3 (#56)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.

Week 3 (Nov 2-8)

  • Brandon Miller: 3 games (Mon DET, Wed @BKN, Fri BOS).
  • Zion Williamson: 4 games (Mon @MEM, Wed UTA, Fri MIN, Sun @LAC).

Brandon Miller or Zion Williamson: the Week 3 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Brandon Miller: 37.7 fantasy points a game over his last 8 of 2026-27, against 35.6 on the board.
  • Zion Williamson: 37.2 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 36.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Brandon Miller playing tonight? · Is Zion Williamson playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Brandon Miller, Zion Williamson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brandon Miller or Zion Williamson?

    Points leagues: Zion Williamson. 36.0 fantasy points per game against 35.6, 48th on our board to 52nd. 9-cat leagues: Brandon Miller instead, +0.3 in summed z-scores against +0.2 (51st to 54th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Brandon Miller or Zion Williamson?

    Category by category, Brandon Miller is ahead in 4 (PTS, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Zion Williamson in 3 (STL, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 3, Brandon Miller or Zion Williamson?

    Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Zion Williamson 4. For that week alone, start Zion Williamson: 144.0 projected fantasy points to 106.8 for Brandon Miller.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number