Caleb Wilson vs Kevin Durant: who to start in Week 3
Caleb Wilson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kevin Durant 3. For that week alone, start Kevin Durant: 120.5 projected fantasy points to 118.7 for Caleb Wilson. Over the season, Kevin Durant leads in both formats: 40.2 fantasy points a game to 39.6, and 17th against 66th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #28
- 39.6 FP/G, slot 3.04, $25
- 9-cat leagues
- #66
- -0.3 z, slot 6.06, $14
- Points leagues
- #25
- 40.2 FP/G, slot 3.01, $26
- 9-cat leagues
- #17
- +2.8 z, slot 2.05, $32
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Kevin Durant. 40.2 fantasy points per game against 39.6, 25th on our board to 28th.
9-cat leagues: Kevin Durant again, +2.8 in summed z-scores against -0.3 (17th to 66th).
Category by category, Caleb Wilson is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Kevin Durant in 4 (PTS, AST, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Caleb Wilson produces more: 41.7 fantasy points to 40.7, on 34.2 minutes a night against 35.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Caleb Wilson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kevin Durant 3. For that week alone, start Kevin Durant: 120.5 projected fantasy points to 118.7 for Caleb Wilson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Caleb Wilson | Kevin Durant |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 39.6 | 40.2 |
| Minutes | 34.2 | 35.6 |
| PointsPTS | 21.2 | 24.7 |
| ReboundsREB | 6.7 | 5.5 |
| AssistsAST | 2.5 | 4.3 |
| StealsSTL | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Threes3PM | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.7% | 51.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 69.7% | 86.2% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 0 | 78 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Caleb Wilson | Kevin Durant |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 41.7 | 40.7 |
| Points | 22.3 | 25.0 |
| Rebounds | 7.0 | 5.6 |
| Assists | 2.6 | 4.3 |
| Steals | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Threes | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 3.1 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Caleb Wilson | Kevin Durant |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.8 | +1.5 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.4 | -0.1 |
| AssistsAST | -0.6 | +0.2 |
| StealsSTL | +1.6 | -1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.6 | +1.0 |
| Threes3PM | +0.7 | +0.5 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.8 | +0.9 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -1.8 | +1.3 |
| TurnoversTO | -1.1 | -1.4 |
| Total | -0.3 | +2.8 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Caleb Wilson.
| Punt | Caleb Wilson | Kevin Durant |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.2 (#120) | +1.3 (#25) |
| REB | -0.8 (#96) | +2.9 (#15) |
| AST | +0.1 (#52) | +2.5 (#18) |
| STL | -2.0 (#144) | +3.7 (#11) |
| BLK | -2.1 (#137) | +1.8 (#26) |
| 3PM | -1.0 (#89) | +2.1 (#22) |
| FG% | +1.1 (#41) | +1.9 (#32) |
| FT% | +1.4 (#33) | +1.3 (#36) |
| TO | +0.9 (#49) | +4.1 (#15) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Caleb Wilson: 3 games (Mon @PHI, Wed @NYK, Sun PHI).
- Kevin Durant: 3 games (Mon BOS, Wed MIN, Sat @PHX).
Recent games
- Caleb Wilson: 40.8 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 39.6 on the board.
- Kevin Durant: 35.7 fantasy points a game over his last 8 of 2026-27, against 40.2 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Caleb Wilson playing tonight? · Is Kevin Durant playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Caleb Wilson, Kevin Durant
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Caleb Wilson or Kevin Durant?
Points leagues: Kevin Durant. 40.2 fantasy points per game against 39.6, 25th on our board to 28th. 9-cat leagues: Kevin Durant again, +2.8 in summed z-scores against -0.3 (17th to 66th).
Who wins more categories, Caleb Wilson or Kevin Durant?
Category by category, Caleb Wilson is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Kevin Durant in 4 (PTS, AST, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Caleb Wilson or Kevin Durant?
Caleb Wilson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kevin Durant 3. For that week alone, start Kevin Durant: 120.5 projected fantasy points to 118.7 for Caleb Wilson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number