Caleb Wilson vs Paolo Banchero: who to start in Week 3
Caleb Wilson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Caleb Wilson: 122.5 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Paolo Banchero. Over the season, Paolo Banchero leads in points leagues (41.0 fantasy points a game to 40.8) and Caleb Wilson in 9-cat leagues (34th against 102nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #24
- 40.8 FP/G, slot 2.12, $27
- 9-cat leagues
- #34
- +1.3 z, slot 3.10, $23
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #23
- 41.0 FP/G, slot 2.11, $27
- 9-cat leagues
- #102
- -1.4 z, slot 9.06, $8
Out (Ankle)
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 40.8, 23rd on our board to 24th.
9-cat leagues: Caleb Wilson instead, +1.3 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (34th to 102nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Caleb Wilson is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Paolo Banchero in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Caleb Wilson produces more: 43.1 fantasy points to 42.5, on 34.1 minutes a night against 34.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Caleb Wilson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Caleb Wilson: 122.5 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Paolo Banchero.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Caleb Wilson | Paolo Banchero |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 40.8 | 41.0 |
| Minutes | 34.1 | 34.7 |
| PointsPTS | 21.6 | 22.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 6.7 | 8.2 |
| AssistsAST | 2.7 | 5.5 |
| StealsSTL | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Threes3PM | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 43.2% | 48.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 69.4% | 76.4% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 0 | 72 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Caleb Wilson | Paolo Banchero |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 43.1 | 42.5 |
| Points | 22.7 | 23.3 |
| Rebounds | 7.1 | 8.5 |
| Assists | 2.9 | 5.7 |
| Steals | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.9 | 3.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Caleb Wilson | Paolo Banchero |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.9 | +1.1 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.4 | +1.0 |
| AssistsAST | -0.5 | +0.8 |
| StealsSTL | +2.5 | -0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.2 | -0.4 |
| Threes3PM | +0.9 | -0.5 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.3 | +0.0 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -1.7 | -1.0 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.9 | -1.5 |
| Total | +1.3 | -1.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Paolo Banchero.
| Punt | Caleb Wilson | Paolo Banchero |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.2 (#53) | -2.4 (#191) |
| REB | +0.7 (#36) | -2.6 (#170) |
| AST | +1.5 (#28) | -2.3 (#169) |
| STL | -1.3 (#109) | -0.6 (#79) |
| BLK | -0.0 (#63) | -1.2 (#102) |
| 3PM | +0.2 (#48) | -0.9 (#88) |
| FG% | +2.2 (#27) | -1.9 (#123) |
| FT% | +2.8 (#16) | -0.5 (#72) |
| TO | +2.3 (#30) | +0.2 (#60) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Caleb Wilson: 3 games (Mon @PHI, Wed @NYK, Sun PHI).
- Paolo Banchero: 3 games (Mon WAS, Thu @PHX, Sat @GSW), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
Recent games
- Caleb Wilson: 40.8 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 40.8 on the board.
- Paolo Banchero: 42.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 41.0 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Caleb Wilson playing tonight? · Is Paolo Banchero playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Caleb Wilson, Paolo Banchero
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Caleb Wilson or Paolo Banchero?
Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 40.8, 23rd on our board to 24th. 9-cat leagues: Caleb Wilson instead, +1.3 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (34th to 102nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Caleb Wilson or Paolo Banchero?
Category by category, Caleb Wilson is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Paolo Banchero in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Caleb Wilson or Paolo Banchero?
Caleb Wilson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Caleb Wilson: 122.5 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Paolo Banchero.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number