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Cam Spencer vs Cameron Johnson: who to start in Week 1

Cam Spencer plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cameron Johnson 2. For that week alone, start Cam Spencer: 69.1 projected fantasy points to 46.0 for Cameron Johnson. Over the season, Cam Spencer leads in points leagues (23.0 fantasy points a game to 23.0) and Cameron Johnson in 9-cat leagues (122nd against 125th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET.

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Cam Spencer
SGPGSFMEMage 26
Points leagues
#156
23.0 FP/G, slot 13.12, $1
9-cat leagues
#125
-1.9 z, slot 11.05, $5

The pick in points leagues.

Cameron Johnson
SFPFSGDENage 30
Points leagues
#158
23.0 FP/G, slot 14.02
9-cat leagues
#122
-1.8 z, slot 11.02, $6

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Cam Spencer. 23.0 fantasy points per game against 23.0, 156th on our board to 158th.

9-cat leagues: Cameron Johnson instead, -1.8 in summed z-scores against -1.9 (122nd to 125th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Cam Spencer is ahead in 2 (AST and FT%) and Cameron Johnson in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Cam Spencer produces more: 35.6 fantasy points to 27.1, on 23.3 minutes a night against 30.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Cam Spencer plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cameron Johnson 2. For that week alone, start Cam Spencer: 69.1 projected fantasy points to 46.0 for Cameron Johnson.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameCam SpencerCameron Johnson
Fantasy points per game23.023.0
Minutes23.330.5
PointsPTS10.612.2
ReboundsREB2.63.8
AssistsAST5.32.4
StealsSTL0.70.7
BlocksBLK0.10.4
Threes3PM2.02.0
Field goal %FG%46.6%48.0%
Free throw %FT%94.0%83.9%
TurnoversTO1.30.9
Games, 2025-267254

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Cam SpencerCameron Johnson
Fantasy points35.627.1
Points16.314.4
Rebounds4.04.5
Assists8.22.9
Steals1.10.9
Blocks0.20.5
Threes3.02.4
Turnovers2.01.0

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryCam SpencerCameron Johnson
PointsPTS-1.0-0.7
ReboundsREB-1.5-0.9
AssistsAST+0.9-0.6
StealsSTL-0.8-0.8
BlocksBLK-1.1-0.6
Threes3PM+0.3+0.4
Field goal percentageFG%-0.3-0.1
Free throw percentageFT%+0.8+0.3
TurnoversTO+0.7+1.3
Total-1.9-1.8

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Cam Spencer.

PuntCam SpencerCameron Johnson
PTS-1.0 (#103)-1.1 (#110)
REB-0.4 (#70)-0.9 (#88)
AST-2.9 (#192)-1.2 (#111)
STL-1.2 (#107)-1.1 (#97)
BLK-0.9 (#82)-1.3 (#101)
3PM-2.3 (#151)-2.3 (#148)
FG%-1.6 (#106)-1.7 (#110)
FT%-2.8 (#165)-2.1 (#140)
TO-2.8 (#134)-3.2 (#142)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Cam Spencer: 3 games (Wed UTA, Fri @GSW, Sun @SAC).
  • Cameron Johnson: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Cam Spencer: 11.6 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 23.0 on the board.
  • Cameron Johnson: 27.6 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 23.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Cam Spencer playing tonight? · Is Cameron Johnson playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Cam Spencer, Cameron Johnson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Cam Spencer or Cameron Johnson?

    Points leagues: Cam Spencer. 23.0 fantasy points per game against 23.0, 156th on our board to 158th. 9-cat leagues: Cameron Johnson instead, -1.8 in summed z-scores against -1.9 (122nd to 125th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Cam Spencer or Cameron Johnson?

    Category by category, Cam Spencer is ahead in 2 (AST and FT%) and Cameron Johnson in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Cam Spencer or Cameron Johnson?

    Cam Spencer plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cameron Johnson 2. For that week alone, start Cam Spencer: 69.1 projected fantasy points to 46.0 for Cameron Johnson.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number