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Cason Wallace vs Ivica Zubac: who to start in Week 1

Cason Wallace plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ivica Zubac 3. For that week alone, start Ivica Zubac: 95.9 projected fantasy points to 65.4 for Cason Wallace. Over the season, Ivica Zubac leads in points leagues (32.0 fantasy points a game to 21.8) and Cason Wallace in 9-cat leagues (91st against 92nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 2:29 PM ET.

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Cason Wallace
SGPGSFOKCage 22
Points leagues
#171
21.8 FP/G, slot 15.03
9-cat leagues
#91
-1.1 z, slot 8.07, $9

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Ivica Zubac
CINDage 29
Points leagues
#68
32.0 FP/G, slot 6.08, $15
9-cat leagues
#92
-1.1 z, slot 8.08, $9

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Ivica Zubac. 32.0 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 68th on our board to 171st.

9-cat leagues: Cason Wallace instead, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (91st to 92nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Cason Wallace is ahead in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Ivica Zubac in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Ivica Zubac produces more: 38.4 fantasy points to 30.2, on 29.9 minutes a night against 26.0. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Cason Wallace plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ivica Zubac 3. For that week alone, start Ivica Zubac: 95.9 projected fantasy points to 65.4 for Cason Wallace.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameCason WallaceIvica Zubac
Fantasy points per game21.832.0
Minutes26.029.9
PointsPTS8.413.9
ReboundsREB3.010.9
AssistsAST2.52.0
StealsSTL2.00.3
BlocksBLK0.30.9
Threes3PM1.30.0
Field goal %FG%42.5%59.5%
Free throw %FT%80.9%68.6%
TurnoversTO0.91.8
Games, 2025-267748

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Cason WallaceIvica Zubac
Fantasy points30.238.4
Points11.716.7
Rebounds4.113.1
Assists3.42.5
Steals2.80.4
Blocks0.41.1
Threes1.80.0
Turnovers1.22.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryCason WallaceIvica Zubac
PointsPTS-1.4-0.4
ReboundsREB-1.2+2.3
AssistsAST-0.6-0.8
StealsSTL+2.7-1.9
BlocksBLK-0.7+0.5
Threes3PM-0.3-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%-0.8+1.8
Free throw percentageFT%+0.0-1.1
TurnoversTO+1.2+0.1
Total-1.1-1.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, steals, threes, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Ivica Zubac.

PuntCason WallaceIvica Zubac
PTS+0.2 (#54)-0.7 (#93)
REB+0.0 (#53)-3.7 (#231)
AST-0.7 (#80)-0.3 (#66)
STL-3.9 (#230)+0.7 (#43)
BLK-0.5 (#74)-2.0 (#129)
3PM-0.9 (#89)+0.6 (#45)
FG%-0.5 (#74)-3.7 (#191)
FT%-1.2 (#103)-0.0 (#60)
TO-2.5 (#122)-1.3 (#88)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Cason Wallace: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC).
  • Ivica Zubac: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Cason Wallace: 19.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.
  • Ivica Zubac: 32.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 32.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Cason Wallace playing tonight? · Is Ivica Zubac playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Cason Wallace or Ivica Zubac?

    Points leagues: Ivica Zubac. 32.0 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 68th on our board to 171st. 9-cat leagues: Cason Wallace instead, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (91st to 92nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Cason Wallace or Ivica Zubac?

    Category by category, Cason Wallace is ahead in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Ivica Zubac in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Cason Wallace or Ivica Zubac?

    Cason Wallace plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ivica Zubac 3. For that week alone, start Ivica Zubac: 95.9 projected fantasy points to 65.4 for Cason Wallace.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 2:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number