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CJ McCollum vs Peyton Watson: who to start in Week 1

CJ McCollum plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Peyton Watson 2. For that week alone, start CJ McCollum: 90.4 projected fantasy points to 56.0 for Peyton Watson. Over the season, CJ McCollum leads in points leagues (30.1 fantasy points a game to 28.0) and Peyton Watson in 9-cat leagues (110th against 111th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 9:54 AM ET.

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CJ McCollum
PGSGATLage 35
Points leagues
#85
30.1 FP/G, slot 8.01, $12
9-cat leagues
#111
-1.5 z, slot 10.03, $7

The pick in points leagues.

Peyton Watson
SFPFCLEage 24
Points leagues
#104
28.0 FP/G, slot 9.08, $8
9-cat leagues
#110
-1.5 z, slot 10.02, $7

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: CJ McCollum. 30.1 fantasy points per game against 28.0, 85th on our board to 104th.

9-cat leagues: Peyton Watson instead, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.5 (110th to 111th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, CJ McCollum is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Peyton Watson in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, CJ McCollum produces more: 36.8 fantasy points to 34.1, on 29.5 minutes a night against 29.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

CJ McCollum plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Peyton Watson 2. For that week alone, start CJ McCollum: 90.4 projected fantasy points to 56.0 for Peyton Watson.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameCJ McCollumPeyton Watson
Fantasy points per game30.128.0
Minutes29.529.6
PointsPTS18.814.6
ReboundsREB3.24.9
AssistsAST3.82.1
StealsSTL0.80.9
BlocksBLK0.41.1
Threes3PM2.61.5
Field goal %FG%46.7%49.1%
Free throw %FT%77.7%73.0%
TurnoversTO1.91.7
Games, 2025-267654

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36CJ McCollumPeyton Watson
Fantasy points36.834.1
Points22.917.8
Rebounds3.95.9
Assists4.62.5
Steals1.01.1
Blocks0.51.4
Threes3.21.8
Turnovers2.32.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryCJ McCollumPeyton Watson
PointsPTS+0.4-0.3
ReboundsREB-1.2-0.4
AssistsAST+0.1-0.8
StealsSTL-0.6-0.3
BlocksBLK-0.5+0.9
Threes3PM+1.0-0.1
Field goal percentageFG%-0.5+0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2-0.7
TurnoversTO+0.0+0.2
Total-1.5-1.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, steals, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to CJ McCollum.

PuntCJ McCollumPeyton Watson
PTS-2.0 (#164)-1.2 (#120)
REB-0.4 (#69)-1.3 (#110)
AST-1.8 (#134)-0.8 (#85)
STL-1.0 (#93)-1.3 (#112)
BLK-1.1 (#90)-2.6 (#158)
3PM-2.6 (#168)-1.4 (#107)
FG%-1.1 (#93)-1.9 (#120)
FT%-1.5 (#116)-0.8 (#87)
TO-1.6 (#98)-1.7 (#100)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • CJ McCollum: 3 games (Wed @ORL, Fri @CHA, Sat HOU), 1 back-to-back.
  • Peyton Watson: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • CJ McCollum: 22.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 30.1 on the board.
  • Peyton Watson: 27.2 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 28.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is CJ McCollum playing tonight? · Is Peyton Watson playing tonight?

Rookie cards: CJ McCollum, Peyton Watson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, CJ McCollum or Peyton Watson?

    Points leagues: CJ McCollum. 30.1 fantasy points per game against 28.0, 85th on our board to 104th. 9-cat leagues: Peyton Watson instead, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.5 (110th to 111th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, CJ McCollum or Peyton Watson?

    Category by category, CJ McCollum is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Peyton Watson in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, CJ McCollum or Peyton Watson?

    CJ McCollum plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Peyton Watson 2. For that week alone, start CJ McCollum: 90.4 projected fantasy points to 56.0 for Peyton Watson.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 9:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number