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Daniel Gafford vs Jonathan Kuminga: who to start in Week 1

Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jonathan Kuminga 3. For that week alone, start Jonathan Kuminga: 71.3 projected fantasy points to 71.1 for Daniel Gafford. Over the season, Jonathan Kuminga leads in points leagues (23.8 fantasy points a game to 23.7) and Daniel Gafford in 9-cat leagues (130th against 238th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET.

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Daniel Gafford
CDALage 28
Points leagues
#150
23.7 FP/G, slot 13.06, $2
9-cat leagues
#130
-2.1 z, slot 11.10, $4

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Jonathan Kuminga
PFMINage 24
Points leagues
#149
23.8 FP/G, slot 13.05, $2
9-cat leagues
#238
-4.5 z, slot 20.10

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Jonathan Kuminga. 23.8 fantasy points per game against 23.7, 149th on our board to 150th.

9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford instead, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -4.5 (130th to 238th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Daniel Gafford is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Jonathan Kuminga in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Daniel Gafford produces more: 39.2 fantasy points to 36.4, on 21.7 minutes a night against 23.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jonathan Kuminga 3. For that week alone, start Jonathan Kuminga: 71.3 projected fantasy points to 71.1 for Daniel Gafford.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDaniel GaffordJonathan Kuminga
Fantasy points per game23.723.8
Minutes21.723.5
PointsPTS9.112.2
ReboundsREB6.65.3
AssistsAST1.12.3
StealsSTL0.80.8
BlocksBLK1.30.3
Threes3PM0.01.0
Field goal %FG%64.8%46.6%
Free throw %FT%66.8%72.4%
TurnoversTO1.11.8
Games, 2025-265536

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Daniel GaffordJonathan Kuminga
Fantasy points39.236.4
Points15.018.6
Rebounds11.08.2
Assists1.73.6
Steals1.31.3
Blocks2.20.5
Threes0.01.6
Turnovers1.92.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDaniel GaffordJonathan Kuminga
PointsPTS-1.3-0.7
ReboundsREB+0.4-0.2
AssistsAST-1.3-0.7
StealsSTL-0.7-0.5
BlocksBLK+1.3-0.7
Threes3PM-1.7-0.6
Field goal percentageFG%+1.4-0.3
Free throw percentageFT%-1.2-0.7
TurnoversTO+0.9+0.1
Total-2.1-4.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Daniel Gafford stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntDaniel GaffordJonathan Kuminga
PTS-0.8 (#97)-3.7 (#262)
REB-2.9 (#185)-4.5 (#277)
AST-0.8 (#88)-3.8 (#236)
STL-1.5 (#119)-4.0 (#232)
BLK-3.8 (#217)-4.0 (#232)
3PM-0.4 (#71)-3.8 (#219)
FG%-4.3 (#220)-4.7 (#238)
FT%-0.8 (#88)-3.7 (#209)
TO-3.2 (#144)-4.6 (#194)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Daniel Gafford: 3 games (Wed @HOU, Fri @IND, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back.
  • Jonathan Kuminga: 3 games (Wed @MIA, Fri @ORL, Sun TOR).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Daniel Gafford: 15.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 23.7 on the board.
  • Jonathan Kuminga: 31.7 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 23.8 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Daniel Gafford playing tonight? · Is Jonathan Kuminga playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Daniel Gafford or Jonathan Kuminga?

    Points leagues: Jonathan Kuminga. 23.8 fantasy points per game against 23.7, 149th on our board to 150th. 9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford instead, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -4.5 (130th to 238th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Daniel Gafford or Jonathan Kuminga?

    Category by category, Daniel Gafford is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Jonathan Kuminga in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Daniel Gafford or Jonathan Kuminga?

    Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jonathan Kuminga 3. For that week alone, start Jonathan Kuminga: 71.3 projected fantasy points to 71.1 for Daniel Gafford.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number