Davion Mitchell vs T.J. McConnell: who to start in Week 1
Davion Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), T.J. McConnell 3. For that week alone, start Davion Mitchell: 74.1 projected fantasy points to 66.3 for T.J. McConnell. Over the season, Davion Mitchell leads in points leagues (24.7 fantasy points a game to 22.1) and T.J. McConnell in 9-cat leagues (167th against 168th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #136
- 24.7 FP/G, slot 12.04, $4
- 9-cat leagues
- #168
- -2.9 z, slot 14.12
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #167
- 22.1 FP/G, slot 14.11
- 9-cat leagues
- #167
- -2.8 z, slot 14.11
Day to day (Hamstring)
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Davion Mitchell. 24.7 fantasy points per game against 22.1, 136th on our board to 167th.
9-cat leagues: T.J. McConnell instead, -2.8 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (167th to 168th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Davion Mitchell is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and 3PM) and T.J. McConnell in 4 (STL, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, T.J. McConnell produces more: 46.3 fantasy points to 30.5, on 17.2 minutes a night against 29.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Davion Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), T.J. McConnell 3. For that week alone, start Davion Mitchell: 74.1 projected fantasy points to 66.3 for T.J. McConnell.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Davion Mitchell | T.J. McConnell |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 24.7 | 22.1 |
| Minutes | 29.1 | 17.2 |
| PointsPTS | 9.9 | 9.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| AssistsAST | 6.7 | 5.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Threes3PM | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.4% | 53.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 66.9% | 86.2% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 70 | 56 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Davion Mitchell | T.J. McConnell |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 30.5 | 46.3 |
| Points | 12.3 | 19.6 |
| Rebounds | 3.0 | 4.6 |
| Assists | 8.2 | 10.7 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Davion Mitchell | T.J. McConnell |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.1 | -1.2 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.5 | -1.6 |
| AssistsAST | +1.6 | +0.8 |
| StealsSTL | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -1.1 |
| Threes3PM | -0.3 | -1.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.0 | +0.7 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.5 | +0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.2 | +0.9 |
| Total | -2.9 | -2.8 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Davion Mitchell.
| Punt | Davion Mitchell | T.J. McConnell |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.8 (#153) | -1.6 (#147) |
| REB | -1.5 (#121) | -1.3 (#110) |
| AST | -4.5 (#269) | -3.6 (#228) |
| STL | -2.5 (#167) | -2.9 (#179) |
| BLK | -2.2 (#145) | -1.9 (#126) |
| 3PM | -2.7 (#172) | -1.6 (#118) |
| FG% | -3.2 (#161) | -3.8 (#196) |
| FT% | -2.4 (#153) | -2.9 (#178) |
| TO | -3.1 (#144) | -3.9 (#173) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Davion Mitchell: 3 games (Wed MIN, Fri DET, Sat @CHA), 1 back-to-back.
- T.J. McConnell: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN), listed DTD.
Recent games
- Davion Mitchell: 29.2 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 24.7 on the board.
- T.J. McConnell: 24.5 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.1 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Davion Mitchell playing tonight? · Is T.J. McConnell playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Davion Mitchell or T.J. McConnell?
Points leagues: Davion Mitchell. 24.7 fantasy points per game against 22.1, 136th on our board to 167th. 9-cat leagues: T.J. McConnell instead, -2.8 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (167th to 168th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Davion Mitchell or T.J. McConnell?
Category by category, Davion Mitchell is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and 3PM) and T.J. McConnell in 4 (STL, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Davion Mitchell or T.J. McConnell?
Davion Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), T.J. McConnell 3. For that week alone, start Davion Mitchell: 74.1 projected fantasy points to 66.3 for T.J. McConnell.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number