De'Aaron Fox vs Trey Murphy III: who to start in Week 3
De'Aaron Fox plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Trey Murphy III 4. For that week alone, start De'Aaron Fox: 139.4 projected fantasy points to 138.1 for Trey Murphy III. Over the season, De'Aaron Fox leads in points leagues (34.9 fantasy points a game to 34.5) and Trey Murphy III in 9-cat leagues (26th against 56th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #57
- 34.9 FP/G, slot 5.09, $18
- 9-cat leagues
- #56
- +0.2 z, slot 5.08, $16
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #58
- 34.5 FP/G, slot 5.10, $17
- 9-cat leagues
- #26
- +2.1 z, slot 3.02, $27
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: De'Aaron Fox. 34.9 fantasy points per game against 34.5, 57th on our board to 58th.
9-cat leagues: Trey Murphy III instead, +2.1 in summed z-scores against +0.2 (26th to 56th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, De'Aaron Fox is ahead in 2 (AST and FG%) and Trey Murphy III in 6 (PTS, REB, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, De'Aaron Fox produces more: 40.1 fantasy points to 36.1, on 31.3 minutes a night against 34.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
De'Aaron Fox plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Trey Murphy III 4. For that week alone, start De'Aaron Fox: 139.4 projected fantasy points to 138.1 for Trey Murphy III.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | De'Aaron Fox | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 34.9 | 34.5 |
| Minutes | 31.3 | 34.4 |
| PointsPTS | 18.0 | 19.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.1 | 5.4 |
| AssistsAST | 6.4 | 3.6 |
| StealsSTL | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 2.9 |
| Field goal %FG% | 50.5% | 46.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 77.5% | 86.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 72 | 66 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | De'Aaron Fox | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 40.1 | 36.1 |
| Points | 20.7 | 20.3 |
| Rebounds | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| Assists | 7.4 | 3.8 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 1.9 | 3.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.9 | 1.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | De'Aaron Fox | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.2 | +0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| AssistsAST | +1.3 | -0.1 |
| StealsSTL | +0.7 | +0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.7 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | -0.0 | +1.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.5 | -0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.3 | +0.7 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.7 | +0.2 |
| Total | +0.2 | +2.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Trey Murphy III stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | De'Aaron Fox | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.2 (#66) | +1.5 (#22) |
| REB | +0.8 (#34) | +2.3 (#19) |
| AST | -1.3 (#120) | +2.0 (#23) |
| STL | -0.6 (#76) | +1.2 (#35) |
| BLK | +0.8 (#40) | +2.8 (#16) |
| 3PM | +0.1 (#54) | +0.7 (#42) |
| FG% | -0.5 (#77) | +2.5 (#22) |
| FT% | +0.4 (#46) | +1.3 (#37) |
| TO | +0.9 (#50) | +1.8 (#33) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- De'Aaron Fox: 4 games (Mon UTA, Wed DAL, Fri @SAC, Sat @POR), 1 back-to-back.
- Trey Murphy III: 4 games (Mon @MEM, Wed UTA, Fri MIN, Sun @LAC).
Recent games
- De'Aaron Fox: 33.5 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 34.9 on the board.
- Trey Murphy III: 27.1 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 34.5 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is De'Aaron Fox playing tonight? · Is Trey Murphy III playing tonight?
Rookie cards: De'Aaron Fox
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, De'Aaron Fox or Trey Murphy III?
Points leagues: De'Aaron Fox. 34.9 fantasy points per game against 34.5, 57th on our board to 58th. 9-cat leagues: Trey Murphy III instead, +2.1 in summed z-scores against +0.2 (26th to 56th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, De'Aaron Fox or Trey Murphy III?
Category by category, De'Aaron Fox is ahead in 2 (AST and FG%) and Trey Murphy III in 6 (PTS, REB, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, De'Aaron Fox or Trey Murphy III?
De'Aaron Fox plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Trey Murphy III 4. For that week alone, start De'Aaron Fox: 139.4 projected fantasy points to 138.1 for Trey Murphy III.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number