Dean Wade vs Jaxson Hayes: who to start in Week 3
Dean Wade plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Jaxson Hayes 4. For that week alone, start Jaxson Hayes: 79.0 projected fantasy points to 67.3 for Dean Wade. Over the season, Jaxson Hayes leads in both formats: 19.7 fantasy points a game to 16.8, and 189th against 192nd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #263
- 16.8 FP/G, slot 22.11
- 9-cat leagues
- #192
- -3.4 z, slot 16.12
- Points leagues
- #221
- 19.7 FP/G, slot 19.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #189
- -3.3 z, slot 16.09
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Jaxson Hayes. 19.7 fantasy points per game against 16.8, 221st on our board to 263rd.
9-cat leagues: Jaxson Hayes again, -3.3 in summed z-scores against -3.4 (189th to 192nd).
Category by category, Dean Wade is ahead in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Jaxson Hayes in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Jaxson Hayes produces more: 35.2 fantasy points to 25.5, on 20.2 minutes a night against 23.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Dean Wade plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Jaxson Hayes 4. For that week alone, start Jaxson Hayes: 79.0 projected fantasy points to 67.3 for Dean Wade.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Dean Wade | Jaxson Hayes |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 16.8 | 19.7 |
| Minutes | 23.7 | 20.2 |
| PointsPTS | 5.2 | 7.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| AssistsAST | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| StealsSTL | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Threes3PM | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.2% | 71.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 67.3% | 65.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 59 | 66 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Dean Wade | Jaxson Hayes |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 25.5 | 35.2 |
| Points | 8.0 | 13.7 |
| Rebounds | 5.9 | 8.4 |
| Assists | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| Threes | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 0.4 | 1.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Dean Wade | Jaxson Hayes |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -2.0 | -1.6 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.8 | -0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -1.3 |
| StealsSTL | +0.0 | -1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.5 | +0.8 |
| Threes3PM | -0.6 | -1.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.3 | +1.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.3 | -1.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +2.1 | +1.6 |
| Total | -3.4 | -3.3 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Dean Wade.
| Punt | Dean Wade | Jaxson Hayes |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.4 (#135) | -1.8 (#160) |
| REB | -2.8 (#183) | -3.2 (#202) |
| AST | -2.5 (#178) | -2.2 (#158) |
| STL | -3.6 (#224) | -2.4 (#165) |
| BLK | -3.2 (#183) | -4.6 (#253) |
| 3PM | -2.7 (#177) | -1.5 (#120) |
| FG% | -3.5 (#184) | -5.5 (#278) |
| FT% | -3.1 (#190) | -2.2 (#151) |
| TO | -5.8 (#240) | -5.3 (#217) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Dean Wade: 4 games (Mon CHI, Wed @DET, Fri @CLE, Sun @CHI).
- Jaxson Hayes: 4 games (Mon @SAS, Wed @NOP, Fri @DAL, Sun @MIN).
Recent games
- Dean Wade: 18.9 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 16.8 on the board.
- Jaxson Hayes: 27.1 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 19.7 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Dean Wade playing tonight? · Is Jaxson Hayes playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Dean Wade or Jaxson Hayes?
Points leagues: Jaxson Hayes. 19.7 fantasy points per game against 16.8, 221st on our board to 263rd. 9-cat leagues: Jaxson Hayes again, -3.3 in summed z-scores against -3.4 (189th to 192nd).
Who wins more categories, Dean Wade or Jaxson Hayes?
Category by category, Dean Wade is ahead in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Jaxson Hayes in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Dean Wade or Jaxson Hayes?
Dean Wade plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Jaxson Hayes 4. For that week alone, start Jaxson Hayes: 79.0 projected fantasy points to 67.3 for Dean Wade.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number