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Deni Avdija vs Jaren Jackson Jr.: who to start in Week 2

Deni Avdija plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Jaren Jackson Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Deni Avdija: 128.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jaren Jackson Jr.. Over the season, Deni Avdija leads in points leagues (42.7 fantasy points a game to 32.9) and Jaren Jackson Jr. in 9-cat leagues (61st against 62nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 27, 8:32 PM ET.

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Deni Avdija
PFSFSGPORage 25
Points leagues
#16
42.7 FP/G, slot 2.04, $31
9-cat leagues
#62
-0.1 z, slot 6.02, $15

The pick in points leagues.

Jaren Jackson Jr.
CPFUTAage 27OUT
Points leagues
#59
32.9 FP/G, slot 5.11, $16
9-cat leagues
#61
-0.1 z, slot 6.01, $15

Out (Knee)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Deni Avdija. 42.7 fantasy points per game against 32.9, 16th on our board to 59th.

9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. instead, -0.1 in summed z-scores against -0.1 (61st to 62nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Deni Avdija is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and 3PM) and Jaren Jackson Jr. in 5 (STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Deni Avdija produces more: 46.6 fantasy points to 40.3, on 33.0 minutes a night against 29.4. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Deni Avdija plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Jaren Jackson Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Deni Avdija: 128.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jaren Jackson Jr..

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDeni AvdijaJaren Jackson Jr.
Fantasy points per game42.732.9
Minutes33.029.4
PointsPTS24.018.7
ReboundsREB7.15.5
AssistsAST6.52.0
StealsSTL0.90.9
BlocksBLK0.51.4
Threes3PM1.81.6
Field goal %FG%46.3%48.0%
Free throw %FT%79.0%79.3%
TurnoversTO3.72.4
Games, 2025-266648

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Deni AvdijaJaren Jackson Jr.
Fantasy points46.640.3
Points26.122.9
Rebounds7.76.8
Assists7.12.4
Steals0.91.1
Blocks0.61.7
Threes2.02.0
Turnovers4.02.9

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDeni AvdijaJaren Jackson Jr.
PointsPTS+1.3+0.4
ReboundsREB+0.6-0.1
AssistsAST+1.5-0.8
StealsSTL-0.5-0.3
BlocksBLK-0.3+1.5
Threes3PM+0.2-0.0
Field goal percentageFG%-0.6-0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2-0.1
TurnoversTO-2.2-0.6
Total-0.1-0.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals, blocks, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Deni Avdija.

PuntDeni AvdijaJaren Jackson Jr.
PTS-1.4 (#138)-0.5 (#78)
REB-1.0 (#91)-0.1 (#61)
AST-1.6 (#130)+0.7 (#41)
STL+0.3 (#52)+0.1 (#54)
BLK+0.0 (#59)-1.7 (#123)
3PM-0.3 (#74)-0.2 (#63)
FG%+0.1 (#59)-0.2 (#67)
FT%-0.0 (#57)-0.1 (#62)
TO+2.2 (#31)+0.5 (#51)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)

  • Deni Avdija: 3 games (Tue @LAL, Thu MEM, Sat @UTA).
  • Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3 games (Mon MEM, Wed SAS, Sat POR), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.

Every team's games this week · Week 2 streamers

Recent games

  • Deni Avdija: 41.7 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 42.7 on the board.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr.: 26.8 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 32.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Deni Avdija playing tonight? · Is Jaren Jackson Jr. playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Deni Avdija

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Deni Avdija or Jaren Jackson Jr.?

    Points leagues: Deni Avdija. 42.7 fantasy points per game against 32.9, 16th on our board to 59th. 9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. instead, -0.1 in summed z-scores against -0.1 (61st to 62nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Deni Avdija or Jaren Jackson Jr.?

    Category by category, Deni Avdija is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and 3PM) and Jaren Jackson Jr. in 5 (STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 2, Deni Avdija or Jaren Jackson Jr.?

    Deni Avdija plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Jaren Jackson Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Deni Avdija: 128.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jaren Jackson Jr..

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 8:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number