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Derrick Jones Jr. vs Royce O'Neale: who to start in Week 1

Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Royce O'Neale 3. For that week alone, start Derrick Jones Jr.: 65.5 projected fantasy points to 65.2 for Royce O'Neale. Over the season, Derrick Jones Jr. leads in points leagues (21.8 fantasy points a game to 21.7) and Royce O'Neale in 9-cat leagues (125th against 127th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET.

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Derrick Jones Jr.
PFSFLACage 29
Points leagues
#171
21.8 FP/G, slot 15.03
9-cat leagues
#127
-2.0 z, slot 11.07, $4

The pick in points leagues.

Royce O'Neale
PFSFCHAage 33
Points leagues
#174
21.7 FP/G, slot 15.06
9-cat leagues
#125
-1.9 z, slot 11.05, $4

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Derrick Jones Jr.. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 21.7, 171st on our board to 174th.

9-cat leagues: Royce O'Neale instead, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (125th to 127th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Derrick Jones Jr. is ahead in 4 (PTS, BLK, FG% and TO) and Royce O'Neale in 5 (REB, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Royce O'Neale produces more: 28.9 fantasy points to 28.7, on 27.0 minutes a night against 27.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Royce O'Neale 3. For that week alone, start Derrick Jones Jr.: 65.5 projected fantasy points to 65.2 for Royce O'Neale.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDerrick Jones Jr.Royce O'Neale
Fantasy points per game21.821.7
Minutes27.427.0
PointsPTS10.39.5
ReboundsREB3.64.6
AssistsAST1.62.4
StealsSTL1.01.1
BlocksBLK0.90.4
Threes3PM1.22.6
Field goal %FG%50.3%42.0%
Free throw %FT%73.0%71.1%
TurnoversTO0.81.2
Games, 2025-265078

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Derrick Jones Jr.Royce O'Neale
Fantasy points28.728.9
Points13.612.6
Rebounds4.86.1
Assists2.13.1
Steals1.31.4
Blocks1.20.6
Threes1.63.5
Turnovers1.01.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDerrick Jones Jr.Royce O'Neale
PointsPTS-1.0-1.2
ReboundsREB-1.0-0.5
AssistsAST-1.0-0.6
StealsSTL-0.1+0.1
BlocksBLK+0.4-0.6
Threes3PM-0.4+1.0
Field goal percentageFG%+0.2-0.8
Free throw percentageFT%-0.4-0.1
TurnoversTO+1.4+0.8
Total-2.0-1.9

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Derrick Jones Jr..

PuntDerrick Jones Jr.Royce O'Neale
PTS-1.0 (#109)-0.8 (#96)
REB-1.2 (#105)-1.4 (#117)
AST-1.0 (#102)-1.3 (#119)
STL-2.0 (#142)-2.1 (#148)
BLK-2.6 (#153)-1.5 (#109)
3PM-1.6 (#121)-3.0 (#180)
FG%-2.6 (#143)-1.0 (#90)
FT%-1.6 (#120)-1.8 (#132)
TO-3.5 (#156)-2.8 (#135)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Derrick Jones Jr.: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).
  • Royce O'Neale: 3 games (Wed @BKN, Fri ATL, Sat MIA), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Derrick Jones Jr.: 26.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.
  • Royce O'Neale: 14.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Derrick Jones Jr. playing tonight? · Is Royce O'Neale playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Derrick Jones Jr. or Royce O'Neale?

    Points leagues: Derrick Jones Jr.. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 21.7, 171st on our board to 174th. 9-cat leagues: Royce O'Neale instead, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (125th to 127th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Derrick Jones Jr. or Royce O'Neale?

    Category by category, Derrick Jones Jr. is ahead in 4 (PTS, BLK, FG% and TO) and Royce O'Neale in 5 (REB, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Derrick Jones Jr. or Royce O'Neale?

    Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Royce O'Neale 3. For that week alone, start Derrick Jones Jr.: 65.5 projected fantasy points to 65.2 for Royce O'Neale.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number