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Dylan Harper vs T.J. McConnell: who to start in Week 1

Dylan Harper plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), T.J. McConnell 3. For that week alone, start Dylan Harper: 74.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for T.J. McConnell. Over the season, Dylan Harper leads in points leagues (24.9 fantasy points a game to 22.1) and T.J. McConnell in 9-cat leagues (168th against 169th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 8:28 AM ET.

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Dylan Harper
SGPGSASage 20
Points leagues
#137
24.9 FP/G, slot 12.05, $4
9-cat leagues
#169
-2.9 z, slot 15.01

The pick in points leagues.

T.J. McConnell
PGINDage 34OUT
Points leagues
#165
22.1 FP/G, slot 14.09
9-cat leagues
#168
-2.8 z, slot 14.12

Out (Hamstring)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Dylan Harper. 24.9 fantasy points per game against 22.1, 137th on our board to 165th.

9-cat leagues: T.J. McConnell instead, -2.8 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (168th to 169th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Dylan Harper is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and 3PM) and T.J. McConnell in 5 (AST, STL, FG%, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, T.J. McConnell produces more: 46.3 fantasy points to 37.0, on 17.2 minutes a night against 24.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Dylan Harper plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), T.J. McConnell 3. For that week alone, start Dylan Harper: 74.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for T.J. McConnell.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDylan HarperT.J. McConnell
Fantasy points per game24.922.1
Minutes24.117.2
PointsPTS13.29.4
ReboundsREB3.72.2
AssistsAST3.75.1
StealsSTL0.81.0
BlocksBLK0.30.2
Threes3PM1.00.3
Field goal %FG%49.8%53.8%
Free throw %FT%79.1%86.2%
TurnoversTO1.41.1
Games, 2025-266956

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Dylan HarperT.J. McConnell
Fantasy points37.046.3
Points19.619.6
Rebounds5.54.6
Assists5.510.7
Steals1.12.1
Blocks0.40.4
Threes1.40.6
Turnovers2.12.4

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDylan HarperT.J. McConnell
PointsPTS-0.6-1.2
ReboundsREB-0.9-1.6
AssistsAST+0.1+0.8
StealsSTL-0.7-0.1
BlocksBLK-0.8-1.0
Threes3PM-0.7-1.4
Field goal percentageFG%+0.2+0.7
Free throw percentageFT%-0.0+0.1
TurnoversTO+0.6+0.9
Total-2.9-2.8

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, steals, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Dylan Harper.

PuntDylan HarperT.J. McConnell
PTS-2.4 (#190)-1.6 (#147)
REB-2.1 (#141)-1.3 (#112)
AST-3.0 (#197)-3.6 (#226)
STL-2.3 (#154)-2.9 (#177)
BLK-2.3 (#147)-1.9 (#128)
3PM-2.3 (#156)-1.5 (#116)
FG%-3.5 (#173)-3.9 (#201)
FT%-2.9 (#175)-3.0 (#177)
TO-3.6 (#159)-3.9 (#175)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Dylan Harper: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.
  • T.J. McConnell: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN), listed Out.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Dylan Harper: 31.2 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 24.9 on the board.
  • T.J. McConnell: 24.5 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.1 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Dylan Harper playing tonight? · Is T.J. McConnell playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Dylan Harper

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Dylan Harper or T.J. McConnell?

    Points leagues: Dylan Harper. 24.9 fantasy points per game against 22.1, 137th on our board to 165th. 9-cat leagues: T.J. McConnell instead, -2.8 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (168th to 169th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Dylan Harper or T.J. McConnell?

    Category by category, Dylan Harper is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and 3PM) and T.J. McConnell in 5 (AST, STL, FG%, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Dylan Harper or T.J. McConnell?

    Dylan Harper plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), T.J. McConnell 3. For that week alone, start Dylan Harper: 74.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for T.J. McConnell.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 8:28 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number