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Dyson Daniels vs Jaren Jackson Jr.: who to start in Week 1

Dyson Daniels plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jaren Jackson Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Jaren Jackson Jr.: 103.6 projected fantasy points to 102.8 for Dyson Daniels. Over the season, Jaren Jackson Jr. leads in points leagues (34.5 fantasy points a game to 34.3) and Dyson Daniels in 9-cat leagues (36th against 42nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 21, 4:56 PM ET.

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Dyson Daniels
SGSFATLage 23
Points leagues
#53
34.3 FP/G, slot 5.05, $18
9-cat leagues
#36
+1.3 z, slot 3.12, $22

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Jaren Jackson Jr.
CPFUTAage 27
Points leagues
#51
34.5 FP/G, slot 5.03, $18
9-cat leagues
#42
+0.8 z, slot 4.06, $20

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr.. 34.5 fantasy points per game against 34.3, 51st on our board to 53rd.

9-cat leagues: Dyson Daniels instead, +1.3 in summed z-scores against +0.8 (36th to 42nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Dyson Daniels is ahead in 5 (REB, AST, STL, FG% and TO) and Jaren Jackson Jr. in 4 (PTS, BLK, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Jaren Jackson Jr. produces more: 41.0 fantasy points to 37.2, on 30.3 minutes a night against 33.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Dyson Daniels plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jaren Jackson Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Jaren Jackson Jr.: 103.6 projected fantasy points to 102.8 for Dyson Daniels.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDyson DanielsJaren Jackson Jr.
Fantasy points per game34.334.5
Minutes33.230.3
PointsPTS11.919.4
ReboundsREB6.85.7
AssistsAST5.92.0
StealsSTL2.01.1
BlocksBLK0.41.4
Threes3PM0.31.8
Field goal %FG%51.7%47.6%
Free throw %FT%61.5%80.3%
TurnoversTO1.82.2
Games, 2025-267648

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Dyson DanielsJaren Jackson Jr.
Fantasy points37.241.0
Points12.923.1
Rebounds7.46.7
Assists6.42.3
Steals2.11.3
Blocks0.41.7
Threes0.32.1
Turnovers1.92.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDyson DanielsJaren Jackson Jr.
PointsPTS-0.9+0.5
ReboundsREB+0.5-0.1
AssistsAST+1.1-0.9
StealsSTL+2.8+0.3
BlocksBLK-0.6+1.5
Threes3PM-1.4+0.1
Field goal percentageFG%+0.5-0.3
Free throw percentageFT%-0.9+0.1
TurnoversTO+0.1-0.5
Total+1.3+0.8

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, assists, steals, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Jaren Jackson Jr..

PuntDyson DanielsJaren Jackson Jr.
PTS+2.0 (#19)+0.2 (#56)
REB+0.5 (#48)+0.7 (#43)
AST-0.0 (#58)+1.5 (#28)
STL-1.6 (#122)+0.5 (#46)
BLK+1.6 (#29)-0.9 (#85)
3PM+2.6 (#18)+0.6 (#44)
FG%+0.2 (#60)+0.9 (#44)
FT%+2.2 (#24)+0.7 (#42)
TO+1.1 (#46)+1.2 (#44)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 390 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Dyson Daniels: 3 games (Wed @ORL, Fri @CHA, Sat HOU), 1 back-to-back.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Dyson Daniels: 38.8 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 34.3 on the board.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr.: 39.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 34.5 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Dyson Daniels playing tonight? · Is Jaren Jackson Jr. playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Dyson Daniels or Jaren Jackson Jr.?

    Points leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr.. 34.5 fantasy points per game against 34.3, 51st on our board to 53rd. 9-cat leagues: Dyson Daniels instead, +1.3 in summed z-scores against +0.8 (36th to 42nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Dyson Daniels or Jaren Jackson Jr.?

    Category by category, Dyson Daniels is ahead in 5 (REB, AST, STL, FG% and TO) and Jaren Jackson Jr. in 4 (PTS, BLK, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Dyson Daniels or Jaren Jackson Jr.?

    Dyson Daniels plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jaren Jackson Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Jaren Jackson Jr.: 103.6 projected fantasy points to 102.8 for Dyson Daniels.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 21, 2026 at 4:56 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number