Evan Mobley vs Jalen Suggs: who to start in Week 1
Evan Mobley plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jalen Suggs 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Suggs: 94.8 projected fantasy points to 79.9 for Evan Mobley. Over the season, Evan Mobley leads in both formats: 39.9 fantasy points a game to 31.6, and 40th against 41st in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 21, 6:56 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #28
- 39.9 FP/G, slot 3.04, $26
- 9-cat leagues
- #40
- +0.9 z, slot 4.04, $20
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #75
- 31.6 FP/G, slot 7.03, $14
- 9-cat leagues
- #41
- +0.8 z, slot 4.05, $20
The call
Points leagues: Evan Mobley. 39.9 fantasy points per game against 31.6, 28th on our board to 75th.
9-cat leagues: Evan Mobley again, +0.9 in summed z-scores against +0.8 (40th to 41st).
Category by category, Evan Mobley is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Jalen Suggs in 4 (AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Evan Mobley produces more: 45.0 fantasy points to 41.2, on 31.9 minutes a night against 27.6. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Evan Mobley plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jalen Suggs 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Suggs: 94.8 projected fantasy points to 79.9 for Evan Mobley.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Evan Mobley | Jalen Suggs |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 39.9 | 31.6 |
| Minutes | 31.9 | 27.6 |
| PointsPTS | 18.2 | 13.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 9.0 | 3.9 |
| AssistsAST | 3.6 | 5.5 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Threes3PM | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| Field goal %FG% | 54.6% | 43.5% |
| Free throw %FT% | 60.6% | 85.5% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.9 | 2.7 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 65 | 57 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Evan Mobley | Jalen Suggs |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 45.0 | 41.2 |
| Points | 20.5 | 18.0 |
| Rebounds | 10.2 | 5.0 |
| Assists | 4.1 | 7.1 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Blocks | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Threes | 1.1 | 2.8 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 3.5 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Evan Mobley | Jalen Suggs |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.3 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | +1.4 | -0.9 |
| AssistsAST | -0.0 | +0.9 |
| StealsSTL | -0.8 | +2.4 |
| BlocksBLK | +2.1 | +0.0 |
| Threes3PM | -0.7 | +0.5 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.3 | -1.0 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -2.7 | +0.4 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.0 | -1.0 |
| Total | +0.9 | +0.8 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Jalen Suggs.
| Punt | Evan Mobley | Jalen Suggs |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.5 (#47) | +1.2 (#31) |
| REB | -1.0 (#92) | +1.7 (#25) |
| AST | +0.8 (#39) | -0.2 (#67) |
| STL | +1.5 (#28) | -1.6 (#127) |
| BLK | -1.7 (#113) | +0.7 (#42) |
| 3PM | +1.6 (#30) | +0.3 (#57) |
| FG% | -1.4 (#98) | +1.8 (#32) |
| FT% | +3.6 (#9) | +0.4 (#54) |
| TO | +0.8 (#52) | +1.9 (#36) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 390 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Evan Mobley: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).
- Jalen Suggs: 3 games (Wed ATL, Fri MIN, Sun @NYK).
Recent games
- Evan Mobley: 36.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 39.9 on the board.
- Jalen Suggs: 32.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 31.6 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Evan Mobley playing tonight? · Is Jalen Suggs playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Jalen Suggs
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Evan Mobley or Jalen Suggs?
Points leagues: Evan Mobley. 39.9 fantasy points per game against 31.6, 28th on our board to 75th. 9-cat leagues: Evan Mobley again, +0.9 in summed z-scores against +0.8 (40th to 41st).
Who wins more categories, Evan Mobley or Jalen Suggs?
Category by category, Evan Mobley is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Jalen Suggs in 4 (AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Evan Mobley or Jalen Suggs?
Evan Mobley plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jalen Suggs 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Suggs: 94.8 projected fantasy points to 79.9 for Evan Mobley.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 21, 2026 at 6:56 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number