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Isaiah Joe vs Ziaire Williams: who to start in Week 1

Isaiah Joe plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ziaire Williams 3. For that week alone, start Ziaire Williams: 56.7 projected fantasy points to 54.2 for Isaiah Joe. Over the season, Ziaire Williams leads in both formats: 18.9 fantasy points a game to 18.1, and 176th against 177th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 11:54 AM ET.

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Isaiah Joe
SGSFDETage 27
Points leagues
#232
18.1 FP/G, slot 20.04
9-cat leagues
#177
-3.2 z, slot 15.09
Ziaire Williams
SFSGLALage 25
Points leagues
#221
18.9 FP/G, slot 19.05
9-cat leagues
#176
-3.1 z, slot 15.08

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Ziaire Williams. 18.9 fantasy points per game against 18.1, 221st on our board to 232nd.

9-cat leagues: Ziaire Williams again, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (176th to 177th).

Category by category, Isaiah Joe is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, 3PM, FG% and TO) and Ziaire Williams in 2 (STL and BLK).

Per 36 minutes, Isaiah Joe produces more: 30.8 fantasy points to 29.7, on 21.1 minutes a night against 22.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Isaiah Joe plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ziaire Williams 3. For that week alone, start Ziaire Williams: 56.7 projected fantasy points to 54.2 for Isaiah Joe.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameIsaiah JoeZiaire Williams
Fantasy points per game18.118.9
Minutes21.122.9
PointsPTS10.910.2
ReboundsREB2.52.4
AssistsAST1.41.3
StealsSTL0.71.3
BlocksBLK0.20.4
Threes3PM2.51.5
Field goal %FG%43.8%43.3%
Free throw %FT%87.1%85.0%
TurnoversTO0.71.1
Games, 2025-267156

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Isaiah JoeZiaire Williams
Fantasy points30.829.7
Points18.515.9
Rebounds4.33.8
Assists2.32.0
Steals1.22.1
Blocks0.40.6
Threes4.32.4
Turnovers1.11.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryIsaiah JoeZiaire Williams
PointsPTS-1.0-1.1
ReboundsREB-1.5-1.5
AssistsAST-1.2-1.2
StealsSTL-0.8+0.9
BlocksBLK-1.0-0.7
Threes3PM+0.9-0.1
Field goal percentageFG%-0.6-0.7
Free throw percentageFT%+0.4+0.4
TurnoversTO+1.5+0.9
Total-3.2-3.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Isaiah Joe.

PuntIsaiah JoeZiaire Williams
PTS-2.3 (#180)-2.0 (#167)
REB-1.8 (#124)-1.7 (#123)
AST-2.1 (#157)-2.0 (#149)
STL-2.5 (#165)-4.1 (#238)
BLK-2.3 (#145)-2.6 (#152)
3PM-4.1 (#234)-3.0 (#180)
FG%-2.6 (#140)-2.6 (#141)
FT%-3.7 (#208)-3.5 (#195)
TO-4.8 (#207)-4.1 (#179)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Isaiah Joe: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
  • Ziaire Williams: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Isaiah Joe: 18.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 18.1 on the board.
  • Ziaire Williams: 19.6 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 18.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Isaiah Joe playing tonight? · Is Ziaire Williams playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Isaiah Joe or Ziaire Williams?

    Points leagues: Ziaire Williams. 18.9 fantasy points per game against 18.1, 221st on our board to 232nd. 9-cat leagues: Ziaire Williams again, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (176th to 177th).

  • Who wins more categories, Isaiah Joe or Ziaire Williams?

    Category by category, Isaiah Joe is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, 3PM, FG% and TO) and Ziaire Williams in 2 (STL and BLK).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Isaiah Joe or Ziaire Williams?

    Isaiah Joe plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ziaire Williams 3. For that week alone, start Ziaire Williams: 56.7 projected fantasy points to 54.2 for Isaiah Joe.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 11:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number