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Jake LaRavia vs Paul Reed: who to start in Week 1

Jake LaRavia plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Jake LaRavia: 58.9 projected fantasy points to 58.2 for Paul Reed. Over the season, Jake LaRavia leads in both formats: 19.6 fantasy points a game to 19.4, and 172nd against 174th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 11:54 AM ET.

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Jake LaRavia
SFSGLALage 24
Points leagues
#211
19.6 FP/G, slot 18.07
9-cat leagues
#172
-3.0 z, slot 15.04

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Paul Reed
CPFDETage 27
Points leagues
#213
19.4 FP/G, slot 18.09
9-cat leagues
#174
-3.0 z, slot 15.06

The call

Points leagues: Jake LaRavia. 19.6 fantasy points per game against 19.4, 211th on our board to 213th.

9-cat leagues: Jake LaRavia again, -3.0 in summed z-scores against -3.0 (172nd to 174th).

Category by category, Jake LaRavia is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Paul Reed produces more: 49.7 fantasy points to 28.6, on 14.1 minutes a night against 24.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jake LaRavia plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Jake LaRavia: 58.9 projected fantasy points to 58.2 for Paul Reed.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJake LaRaviaPaul Reed
Fantasy points per game19.619.4
Minutes24.714.1
PointsPTS8.37.6
ReboundsREB3.94.6
AssistsAST1.81.3
StealsSTL1.30.9
BlocksBLK0.40.9
Threes3PM1.00.2
Field goal %FG%47.6%61.8%
Free throw %FT%76.3%68.8%
TurnoversTO1.11.0
Games, 2025-268265

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jake LaRaviaPaul Reed
Fantasy points28.649.7
Points12.119.6
Rebounds5.611.8
Assists2.63.3
Steals1.82.3
Blocks0.62.2
Threes1.50.5
Turnovers1.52.5

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJake LaRaviaPaul Reed
PointsPTS-1.4-1.5
ReboundsREB-0.9-0.5
AssistsAST-0.9-1.2
StealsSTL+0.7-0.4
BlocksBLK-0.5+0.4
Threes3PM-0.6-1.5
Field goal percentageFG%-0.1+1.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2-0.6
TurnoversTO+1.0+1.1
Total-3.0-3.0

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Paul Reed.

PuntJake LaRaviaPaul Reed
PTS-1.6 (#138)-1.6 (#133)
REB-2.3 (#149)-2.8 (#178)
AST-2.1 (#152)-1.9 (#144)
STL-3.7 (#215)-2.8 (#178)
BLK-2.7 (#161)-3.7 (#211)
3PM-2.4 (#152)-1.6 (#115)
FG%-3.2 (#166)-4.7 (#243)
FT%-2.8 (#166)-2.4 (#155)
TO-4.1 (#178)-4.4 (#191)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jake LaRavia: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).
  • Paul Reed: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jake LaRavia: 17.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 19.6 on the board.
  • Paul Reed: 17.2 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 19.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jake LaRavia playing tonight? · Is Paul Reed playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jake LaRavia or Paul Reed?

    Points leagues: Jake LaRavia. 19.6 fantasy points per game against 19.4, 211th on our board to 213th. 9-cat leagues: Jake LaRavia again, -3.0 in summed z-scores against -3.0 (172nd to 174th).

  • Who wins more categories, Jake LaRavia or Paul Reed?

    Category by category, Jake LaRavia is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jake LaRavia or Paul Reed?

    Jake LaRavia plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Jake LaRavia: 58.9 projected fantasy points to 58.2 for Paul Reed.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 11:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number