Jalen Smith vs Kelly Oubre Jr.: who to start in Week 1
Jalen Smith plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kelly Oubre Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 75.5 projected fantasy points to 72.4 for Jalen Smith. Over the season, Kelly Oubre Jr. leads in points leagues (25.2 fantasy points a game to 24.1) and Jalen Smith in 9-cat leagues (120th against 126th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #147
- 24.1 FP/G, slot 13.03, $3
- 9-cat leagues
- #120
- -1.7 z, slot 10.12, $5
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #131
- 25.2 FP/G, slot 11.11, $5
- 9-cat leagues
- #126
- -2.0 z, slot 11.06, $4
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr.. 25.2 fantasy points per game against 24.1, 131st on our board to 147th.
9-cat leagues: Jalen Smith instead, -1.7 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (120th to 126th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Jalen Smith is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Kelly Oubre Jr. in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM).
Per 36 minutes, Jalen Smith produces more: 41.9 fantasy points to 29.7, on 20.8 minutes a night against 30.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jalen Smith plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kelly Oubre Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 75.5 projected fantasy points to 72.4 for Jalen Smith.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jalen Smith | Kelly Oubre Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 24.1 | 25.2 |
| Minutes | 20.8 | 30.5 |
| PointsPTS | 10.7 | 12.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 7.1 | 4.7 |
| AssistsAST | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Threes3PM | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Field goal %FG% | 49.3% | 44.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 75.9% | 76.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 53 | 50 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jalen Smith | Kelly Oubre Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 41.9 | 29.7 |
| Points | 18.6 | 15.2 |
| Rebounds | 12.4 | 5.5 |
| Assists | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Blocks | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Threes | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Turnovers | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jalen Smith | Kelly Oubre Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.0 | -0.6 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.6 | -0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -1.2 | -1.0 |
| StealsSTL | -1.2 | +0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.1 | -0.4 |
| Threes3PM | -0.1 | -0.0 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.1 | -0.7 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.1 | +0.7 |
| Total | -1.7 | -2.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Kelly Oubre Jr..
| Punt | Jalen Smith | Kelly Oubre Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.8 (#98) | -1.4 (#128) |
| REB | -2.5 (#165) | -1.6 (#123) |
| AST | -0.6 (#76) | -1.1 (#103) |
| STL | -0.6 (#77) | -2.8 (#178) |
| BLK | -2.2 (#142) | -1.7 (#121) |
| 3PM | -1.6 (#119) | -1.9 (#134) |
| FG% | -2.1 (#129) | -1.5 (#99) |
| FT% | -1.5 (#115) | -1.7 (#129) |
| TO | -3.0 (#141) | -2.8 (#132) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jalen Smith: 3 games (Wed @TOR, Fri @MIL, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back.
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
Recent games
- Jalen Smith: 34.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 24.1 on the board.
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 13.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 25.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jalen Smith playing tonight? · Is Kelly Oubre Jr. playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jalen Smith or Kelly Oubre Jr.?
Points leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr.. 25.2 fantasy points per game against 24.1, 131st on our board to 147th. 9-cat leagues: Jalen Smith instead, -1.7 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (120th to 126th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Jalen Smith or Kelly Oubre Jr.?
Category by category, Jalen Smith is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Kelly Oubre Jr. in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jalen Smith or Kelly Oubre Jr.?
Jalen Smith plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kelly Oubre Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 75.5 projected fantasy points to 72.4 for Jalen Smith.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number