Jaren Jackson Jr. vs Tyler Herro: who to start in Week 1
Jaren Jackson Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tyler Herro 3. For that week alone, start Jaren Jackson Jr.: 103.6 projected fantasy points to 101.1 for Tyler Herro. Over the season, Jaren Jackson Jr. leads in both formats: 34.5 fantasy points a game to 33.7, and 42nd against 44th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 21, 4:56 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #51
- 34.5 FP/G, slot 5.03, $18
- 9-cat leagues
- #42
- +0.8 z, slot 4.06, $20
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #59
- 33.7 FP/G, slot 5.11, $17
- 9-cat leagues
- #44
- +0.7 z, slot 4.08, $19
The call
Points leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr.. 34.5 fantasy points per game against 33.7, 51st on our board to 59th.
9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. again, +0.8 in summed z-scores against +0.7 (42nd to 44th).
Category by category, Jaren Jackson Jr. is ahead in 3 (REB, STL and BLK) and Tyler Herro in 6 (PTS, AST, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Jaren Jackson Jr. produces more: 41.0 fantasy points to 38.7, on 30.3 minutes a night against 31.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jaren Jackson Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tyler Herro 3. For that week alone, start Jaren Jackson Jr.: 103.6 projected fantasy points to 101.1 for Tyler Herro.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jaren Jackson Jr. | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 34.5 | 33.7 |
| Minutes | 30.3 | 31.3 |
| PointsPTS | 19.4 | 20.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.7 | 4.8 |
| AssistsAST | 2.0 | 4.1 |
| StealsSTL | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.6% | 48.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 80.3% | 91.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 48 | 33 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 41.0 | 38.7 |
| Points | 23.1 | 23.6 |
| Rebounds | 6.7 | 5.5 |
| Assists | 2.3 | 4.7 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | 2.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jaren Jackson Jr. | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.5 | +0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -0.9 | +0.2 |
| StealsSTL | +0.3 | -0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.5 | -0.7 |
| Threes3PM | +0.1 | +0.9 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.1 | +1.2 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| Total | +0.8 | +0.7 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, steals, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Tyler Herro.
| Punt | Jaren Jackson Jr. | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.2 (#56) | -0.0 (#64) |
| REB | +0.7 (#43) | +1.3 (#32) |
| AST | +1.5 (#28) | +0.4 (#47) |
| STL | +0.5 (#46) | +1.6 (#27) |
| BLK | -0.9 (#85) | +1.5 (#32) |
| 3PM | +0.6 (#44) | -0.4 (#73) |
| FG% | +0.9 (#44) | +1.2 (#40) |
| FT% | +0.7 (#42) | -0.6 (#81) |
| TO | +1.2 (#44) | +0.8 (#51) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 390 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).
- Tyler Herro: 3 games (Wed @WAS, Fri CHI, Sat @PHI), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: 39.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 34.5 on the board.
- Tyler Herro: 32.3 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 33.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jaren Jackson Jr. playing tonight? · Is Tyler Herro playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jaren Jackson Jr. or Tyler Herro?
Points leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr.. 34.5 fantasy points per game against 33.7, 51st on our board to 59th. 9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. again, +0.8 in summed z-scores against +0.7 (42nd to 44th).
Who wins more categories, Jaren Jackson Jr. or Tyler Herro?
Category by category, Jaren Jackson Jr. is ahead in 3 (REB, STL and BLK) and Tyler Herro in 6 (PTS, AST, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jaren Jackson Jr. or Tyler Herro?
Jaren Jackson Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tyler Herro 3. For that week alone, start Jaren Jackson Jr.: 103.6 projected fantasy points to 101.1 for Tyler Herro.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 21, 2026 at 4:56 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number