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Jaylen Wells vs Robert Williams III: who to start in Week 2

Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Robert Williams III 3. For that week alone, start Jaylen Wells: 65.6 projected fantasy points to 65.4 for Robert Williams III. Over the season, Jaylen Wells leads in points leagues (21.9 fantasy points a game to 21.8) and Robert Williams III in 9-cat leagues (107th against 178th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 27, 8:32 PM ET.

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Jaylen Wells
SFSGMEMage 23
Points leagues
#169
21.9 FP/G, slot 15.01
9-cat leagues
#178
-3.1 z, slot 15.10

The pick in points leagues.

Points leagues
#170
21.8 FP/G, slot 15.02
9-cat leagues
#107
-1.4 z, slot 9.11, $7

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Jaylen Wells. 21.9 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 169th on our board to 170th.

9-cat leagues: Robert Williams III instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -3.1 (107th to 178th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Robert Williams III produces more: 46.1 fantasy points to 29.2, on 17.0 minutes a night against 26.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Robert Williams III 3. For that week alone, start Jaylen Wells: 65.6 projected fantasy points to 65.4 for Robert Williams III.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJaylen WellsRobert Williams III
Fantasy points per game21.921.8
Minutes26.917.0
PointsPTS13.06.8
ReboundsREB3.47.1
AssistsAST1.61.0
StealsSTL1.00.5
BlocksBLK0.11.4
Threes3PM1.90.1
Field goal %FG%46.3%71.7%
Free throw %FT%75.5%58.5%
TurnoversTO1.00.8
Games, 2025-266959

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jaylen WellsRobert Williams III
Fantasy points29.246.1
Points17.414.4
Rebounds4.615.1
Assists2.12.0
Steals1.41.1
Blocks0.13.0
Threes2.60.3
Turnovers1.31.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJaylen WellsRobert Williams III
PointsPTS-0.6-1.7
ReboundsREB-1.0+0.7
AssistsAST-1.0-1.3
StealsSTL-0.0-1.4
BlocksBLK-1.2+1.5
Threes3PM+0.3-1.6
Field goal percentageFG%-0.4+1.7
Free throw percentageFT%-0.4-0.7
TurnoversTO+1.2+1.3
Total-3.1-1.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Jaylen Wells.

PuntJaylen WellsRobert Williams III
PTS-2.6 (#200)+0.2 (#52)
REB-2.3 (#152)-2.4 (#156)
AST-2.2 (#166)-0.0 (#55)
STL-3.2 (#190)-0.1 (#62)
BLK-2.1 (#134)-3.3 (#180)
3PM-3.5 (#209)+0.2 (#53)
FG%-3.0 (#160)-3.6 (#186)
FT%-2.9 (#167)-0.7 (#81)
TO-4.3 (#187)-2.9 (#134)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)

  • Jaylen Wells: 3 games (Mon @UTA, Thu @POR, Sat SAC), 1 back-to-back.
  • Robert Williams III: 3 games (Tue @LAL, Thu MEM, Sat @UTA).

Every team's games this week · Week 2 streamers

Recent games

  • Jaylen Wells: 26.1 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 21.9 on the board.
  • Robert Williams III: 19.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jaylen Wells playing tonight? · Is Robert Williams III playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jaylen Wells or Robert Williams III?

    Points leagues: Jaylen Wells. 21.9 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 169th on our board to 170th. 9-cat leagues: Robert Williams III instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -3.1 (107th to 178th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jaylen Wells or Robert Williams III?

    Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 2, Jaylen Wells or Robert Williams III?

    Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Robert Williams III 3. For that week alone, start Jaylen Wells: 65.6 projected fantasy points to 65.4 for Robert Williams III.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 8:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number