Keegan Murray vs Peyton Watson: who to start in Week 2
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Peyton Watson 4. For that week alone, start Peyton Watson: 112.4 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Keegan Murray. Over the season, Peyton Watson leads in points leagues (28.1 fantasy points a game to 28.1) and Keegan Murray in 9-cat leagues (105th against 106th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 27, 8:32 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #103
- 28.1 FP/G, slot 9.07, $9
- 9-cat leagues
- #105
- -1.4 z, slot 9.09, $8
Out (Ankle)
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #102
- 28.1 FP/G, slot 9.06, $9
- 9-cat leagues
- #106
- -1.4 z, slot 9.10, $8
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Peyton Watson. 28.1 fantasy points per game against 28.1, 102nd on our board to 103rd.
9-cat leagues: Keegan Murray instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (105th to 106th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Keegan Murray is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FT% and TO) and Peyton Watson in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Peyton Watson produces more: 33.6 fantasy points to 30.1, on 30.1 minutes a night against 33.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Peyton Watson 4. For that week alone, start Peyton Watson: 112.4 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Keegan Murray.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keegan Murray | Peyton Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 28.1 | 28.1 |
| Minutes | 33.6 | 30.1 |
| PointsPTS | 13.1 | 14.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.4 | 4.7 |
| AssistsAST | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.0% | 46.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 80.0% | 74.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 23 | 54 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keegan Murray | Peyton Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 30.1 | 33.6 |
| Points | 14.1 | 16.8 |
| Rebounds | 5.8 | 5.7 |
| Assists | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Threes | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Turnovers | 1.2 | 2.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Keegan Murray | Peyton Watson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.1 | -0.4 |
| AssistsAST | -1.1 | -0.8 |
| StealsSTL | +0.0 | +0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.5 | +1.2 |
| Threes3PM | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.0 | -0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.0 | -0.1 |
| Total | -1.4 | -1.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Peyton Watson.
| Punt | Keegan Murray | Peyton Watson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.8 (#95) | -1.0 (#105) |
| REB | -1.5 (#112) | -1.2 (#103) |
| AST | -0.4 (#67) | -0.6 (#80) |
| STL | -1.5 (#120) | -1.6 (#128) |
| BLK | -3.1 (#172) | -2.8 (#162) |
| 3PM | -0.9 (#89) | -1.1 (#93) |
| FG% | +0.1 (#57) | -1.4 (#101) |
| FT% | -1.4 (#113) | -0.9 (#90) |
| TO | -2.4 (#121) | -1.3 (#93) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Keegan Murray: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu @NOP, Sat @MEM), listed Out.
- Peyton Watson: 4 games (Mon MIN, Wed WAS, Thu @ATL, Sat @MIL), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Keegan Murray: 13.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 28.1 on the board.
- Peyton Watson: 28.6 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 28.1 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keegan Murray playing tonight? · Is Peyton Watson playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Peyton Watson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keegan Murray or Peyton Watson?
Points leagues: Peyton Watson. 28.1 fantasy points per game against 28.1, 102nd on our board to 103rd. 9-cat leagues: Keegan Murray instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (105th to 106th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Keegan Murray or Peyton Watson?
Category by category, Keegan Murray is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FT% and TO) and Peyton Watson in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 2, Keegan Murray or Peyton Watson?
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Peyton Watson 4. For that week alone, start Peyton Watson: 112.4 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Keegan Murray.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 8:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number