Keegan Murray vs Rudy Gobert: who to start in Week 1
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Rudy Gobert 3. For that week alone, start Rudy Gobert: 96.8 projected fantasy points to 86.1 for Keegan Murray. Over the season, Rudy Gobert leads in both formats: 32.3 fantasy points a game to 28.7, and 97th against 98th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 11:54 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #99
- 28.7 FP/G, slot 9.03, $10
- 9-cat leagues
- #98
- -1.2 z, slot 9.02, $9
- Points leagues
- #68
- 32.3 FP/G, slot 6.08, $15
- 9-cat leagues
- #97
- -1.2 z, slot 9.01, $9
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Rudy Gobert. 32.3 fantasy points per game against 28.7, 68th on our board to 99th.
9-cat leagues: Rudy Gobert again, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (97th to 98th).
Category by category, Keegan Murray is ahead in 5 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Rudy Gobert in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Rudy Gobert produces more: 37.0 fantasy points to 30.3, on 31.4 minutes a night against 34.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Rudy Gobert 3. For that week alone, start Rudy Gobert: 96.8 projected fantasy points to 86.1 for Keegan Murray.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keegan Murray | Rudy Gobert |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 28.7 | 32.3 |
| Minutes | 34.1 | 31.4 |
| PointsPTS | 13.2 | 10.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.6 | 11.7 |
| AssistsAST | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Threes3PM | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 40.8% | 66.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 77.6% | 53.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 23 | 76 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keegan Murray | Rudy Gobert |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 30.3 | 37.0 |
| Points | 14.0 | 12.1 |
| Rebounds | 5.9 | 13.4 |
| Assists | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Threes | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 1.2 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Keegan Murray | Rudy Gobert |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -1.0 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.1 | +2.7 |
| AssistsAST | -1.1 | -1.0 |
| StealsSTL | +0.1 | -0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.6 | +1.8 |
| Threes3PM | -0.4 | -1.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.7 | +1.8 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.1 | -3.4 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.0 | +0.5 |
| Total | -1.2 | -1.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Keegan Murray.
| Punt | Keegan Murray | Rudy Gobert |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.7 (#91) | -0.2 (#68) |
| REB | -1.3 (#109) | -4.6 (#282) |
| AST | -0.2 (#65) | -0.2 (#63) |
| STL | -1.4 (#113) | -0.4 (#73) |
| BLK | -3.1 (#172) | -3.6 (#200) |
| 3PM | -0.9 (#91) | +0.6 (#45) |
| FG% | +0.3 (#54) | -4.3 (#223) |
| FT% | -1.1 (#95) | +2.3 (#21) |
| TO | -2.2 (#117) | -1.8 (#104) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Keegan Murray: 3 games (Wed @LAC, Fri POR, Sun MEM).
- Rudy Gobert: 3 games (Wed @MIA, Fri @ORL, Sun TOR).
Recent games
- Keegan Murray: 9.8 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 28.7 on the board.
- Rudy Gobert: 21.5 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 32.3 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keegan Murray playing tonight? · Is Rudy Gobert playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Rudy Gobert
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keegan Murray or Rudy Gobert?
Points leagues: Rudy Gobert. 32.3 fantasy points per game against 28.7, 68th on our board to 99th. 9-cat leagues: Rudy Gobert again, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (97th to 98th).
Who wins more categories, Keegan Murray or Rudy Gobert?
Category by category, Keegan Murray is ahead in 5 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Rudy Gobert in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Keegan Murray or Rudy Gobert?
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Rudy Gobert 3. For that week alone, start Rudy Gobert: 96.8 projected fantasy points to 86.1 for Keegan Murray.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 11:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number