Keldon Johnson vs Robert Williams III: who to start in Week 3
Keldon Johnson plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Robert Williams III 4. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 86.4 projected fantasy points to 86.3 for Robert Williams III. Over the season, Keldon Johnson leads in points leagues (21.6 fantasy points a game to 21.6) and Robert Williams III in 9-cat leagues (133rd against 204th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #187
- 21.6 FP/G, slot 16.07
- 9-cat leagues
- #204
- -3.9 z, slot 17.12
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #188
- 21.6 FP/G, slot 16.08
- 9-cat leagues
- #133
- -2.0 z, slot 12.01, $4
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Keldon Johnson. 21.6 fantasy points per game against 21.6, 187th on our board to 188th.
9-cat leagues: Robert Williams III instead, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -3.9 (133rd to 204th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Keldon Johnson is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Robert Williams III in 4 (REB, STL, BLK and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Robert Williams III produces more: 45.7 fantasy points to 33.5, on 17.0 minutes a night against 23.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Keldon Johnson plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Robert Williams III 4. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 86.4 projected fantasy points to 86.3 for Robert Williams III.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keldon Johnson | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.6 | 21.6 |
| Minutes | 23.2 | 17.0 |
| PointsPTS | 11.9 | 6.7 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.4 | 7.0 |
| AssistsAST | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 1.3 |
| Threes3PM | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Field goal %FG% | 51.2% | 69.3% |
| Free throw %FT% | 76.1% | 61.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 82 | 59 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keldon Johnson | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 33.5 | 45.7 |
| Points | 18.5 | 14.3 |
| Rebounds | 8.4 | 14.9 |
| Assists | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 0.1 | 2.8 |
| Threes | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 1.2 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Keldon Johnson | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.8 | -1.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | +0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -1.3 | -1.4 |
| StealsSTL | -1.3 | -1.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.2 | +1.3 |
| Threes3PM | -0.8 | -1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.5 | +1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.3 | -0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.5 | +1.4 |
| Total | -3.9 | -2.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Keldon Johnson.
| Punt | Keldon Johnson | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.0 (#219) | -0.2 (#67) |
| REB | -3.9 (#240) | -2.8 (#181) |
| AST | -2.7 (#185) | -0.5 (#74) |
| STL | -2.7 (#174) | -0.8 (#88) |
| BLK | -3.0 (#169) | -3.6 (#196) |
| 3PM | -3.1 (#190) | -0.3 (#64) |
| FG% | -4.7 (#247) | -3.8 (#198) |
| FT% | -3.6 (#207) | -1.2 (#104) |
| TO | -5.6 (#234) | -3.6 (#163) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Keldon Johnson: 4 games (Mon UTA, Wed DAL, Fri @SAC, Sat @POR), 1 back-to-back.
- Robert Williams III: 4 games (Mon @DEN, Wed @PHX, Fri @LAL, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Keldon Johnson: 18.8 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 21.6 on the board.
- Robert Williams III: 20.1 fantasy points a game over his last 5 of 2026-27, against 21.6 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keldon Johnson playing tonight? · Is Robert Williams III playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keldon Johnson or Robert Williams III?
Points leagues: Keldon Johnson. 21.6 fantasy points per game against 21.6, 187th on our board to 188th. 9-cat leagues: Robert Williams III instead, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -3.9 (133rd to 204th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Keldon Johnson or Robert Williams III?
Category by category, Keldon Johnson is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Robert Williams III in 4 (REB, STL, BLK and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Keldon Johnson or Robert Williams III?
Keldon Johnson plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Robert Williams III 4. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 86.4 projected fantasy points to 86.3 for Robert Williams III.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number