Keon Ellis vs Quentin Grimes: who to start in Week 3
Keon Ellis plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Quentin Grimes 4. For that week alone, start Quentin Grimes: 89.9 projected fantasy points to 62.8 for Keon Ellis. Over the season, Quentin Grimes leads in points leagues (22.5 fantasy points a game to 15.7) and Keon Ellis in 9-cat leagues (211th against 213th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #280
- 15.7 FP/G, slot 24.04
- 9-cat leagues
- #211
- -3.9 z, slot 18.07
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #173
- 22.5 FP/G, slot 15.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #213
- -3.9 z, slot 18.09
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Quentin Grimes. 22.5 fantasy points per game against 15.7, 173rd on our board to 280th.
9-cat leagues: Keon Ellis instead, -3.9 in summed z-scores against -3.9 (211th to 213th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Keon Ellis is ahead in 3 (STL, BLK and TO) and Quentin Grimes in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Quentin Grimes produces more: 28.3 fantasy points to 26.1, on 28.6 minutes a night against 21.6. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Keon Ellis plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Quentin Grimes 4. For that week alone, start Quentin Grimes: 89.9 projected fantasy points to 62.8 for Keon Ellis.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keon Ellis | Quentin Grimes |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 15.7 | 22.5 |
| Minutes | 21.6 | 28.6 |
| PointsPTS | 6.2 | 11.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 1.9 | 3.5 |
| AssistsAST | 1.4 | 3.1 |
| StealsSTL | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.4% | 45.3% |
| Free throw %FT% | 72.9% | 79.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.6 | 1.7 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 72 | 75 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keon Ellis | Quentin Grimes |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 26.1 | 28.3 |
| Points | 10.3 | 15.0 |
| Rebounds | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| Assists | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.1 | 2.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Keon Ellis | Quentin Grimes |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.9 | -0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.7 | -1.0 |
| AssistsAST | -1.2 | -0.3 |
| StealsSTL | +0.4 | -0.5 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.1 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | -0.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.6 | +0.3 |
| Total | -3.9 | -3.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals, blocks and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Quentin Grimes.
| Punt | Keon Ellis | Quentin Grimes |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.1 (#172) | -3.1 (#228) |
| REB | -2.3 (#157) | -3.0 (#196) |
| AST | -2.8 (#191) | -3.7 (#229) |
| STL | -4.4 (#273) | -3.5 (#219) |
| BLK | -4.2 (#234) | -3.4 (#189) |
| 3PM | -3.3 (#203) | -3.6 (#220) |
| FG% | -3.5 (#188) | -3.8 (#201) |
| FT% | -3.7 (#211) | -3.9 (#216) |
| TO | -5.7 (#237) | -4.4 (#187) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Keon Ellis: 4 games (Mon @NYK, Wed CHA, Sat @ATL, Sun @DAL), 2 back-to-backs.
- Quentin Grimes: 4 games (Mon MIA, Wed @SAC, Fri POR, Sun @DET), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Keon Ellis: 17.1 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 15.7 on the board.
- Quentin Grimes: 17.6 fantasy points a game over his last 8 of 2026-27, against 22.5 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keon Ellis playing tonight? · Is Quentin Grimes playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Quentin Grimes
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keon Ellis or Quentin Grimes?
Points leagues: Quentin Grimes. 22.5 fantasy points per game against 15.7, 173rd on our board to 280th. 9-cat leagues: Keon Ellis instead, -3.9 in summed z-scores against -3.9 (211th to 213th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Keon Ellis or Quentin Grimes?
Category by category, Keon Ellis is ahead in 3 (STL, BLK and TO) and Quentin Grimes in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Keon Ellis or Quentin Grimes?
Keon Ellis plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Quentin Grimes 4. For that week alone, start Quentin Grimes: 89.9 projected fantasy points to 62.8 for Keon Ellis.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number