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LaMelo Ball vs Trae Young: who to start in Week 3

LaMelo Ball plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Trae Young 4. For that week alone, start LaMelo Ball: 141.6 projected fantasy points to 140.4 for Trae Young. Over the season, LaMelo Ball leads in both formats: 35.4 fantasy points a game to 35.1, and 60th against 89th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET.

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LaMelo Ball
PGMINage 25
Points leagues
#53
35.4 FP/G, slot 5.05, $19
9-cat leagues
#60
-0.0 z, slot 5.12, $15

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Trae Young
PGWASage 28
Points leagues
#55
35.1 FP/G, slot 5.07, $18
9-cat leagues
#89
-0.9 z, slot 8.05, $10

The call

Points leagues: LaMelo Ball. 35.4 fantasy points per game against 35.1, 53rd on our board to 55th.

9-cat leagues: LaMelo Ball again, -0.0 in summed z-scores against -0.9 (60th to 89th).

Category by category, LaMelo Ball is ahead in 3 (REB, STL and 3PM) and Trae Young in 5 (PTS, AST, FG%, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, LaMelo Ball produces more: 47.0 fantasy points to 44.1, on 27.1 minutes a night against 28.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

LaMelo Ball plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Trae Young 4. For that week alone, start LaMelo Ball: 141.6 projected fantasy points to 140.4 for Trae Young.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameLaMelo BallTrae Young
Fantasy points per game35.435.1
Minutes27.128.7
PointsPTS18.318.7
ReboundsREB4.32.5
AssistsAST6.98.6
StealsSTL1.40.9
BlocksBLK0.20.1
Threes3PM3.51.8
Field goal %FG%40.3%43.6%
Free throw %FT%85.2%83.8%
TurnoversTO3.12.7
Games, 2025-267215

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36LaMelo BallTrae Young
Fantasy points47.044.1
Points24.323.5
Rebounds5.83.1
Assists9.110.8
Steals1.91.1
Blocks0.20.2
Threes4.62.3
Turnovers4.13.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryLaMelo BallTrae Young
PointsPTS+0.3+0.4
ReboundsREB-0.6-1.4
AssistsAST+1.6+2.4
StealsSTL+0.9-0.4
BlocksBLK-1.0-1.1
Threes3PM+1.9+0.1
Field goal percentageFG%-1.9-0.9
Free throw percentageFT%+0.4+0.9
TurnoversTO-1.4-0.9
Total-0.0-0.9

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals and threes flips the 9-cat answer to Trae Young.

PuntLaMelo BallTrae Young
PTS-0.4 (#78)-1.3 (#124)
REB+0.8 (#39)+0.5 (#46)
AST-1.7 (#137)-3.4 (#214)
STL-0.9 (#91)-0.5 (#71)
BLK+1.1 (#35)+0.2 (#55)
3PM-2.0 (#148)-1.1 (#99)
FG%+2.2 (#26)-0.1 (#59)
FT%-0.6 (#78)-1.9 (#136)
TO+1.5 (#39)+0.0 (#65)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.

Week 3 (Nov 2-8)

  • LaMelo Ball: 4 games (Mon MIL, Wed @HOU, Fri @NOP, Sun UTA).
  • Trae Young: 4 games (Mon @ORL, Wed ATL, Fri @ATL, Sat @OKC), 1 back-to-back.

LaMelo Ball or Trae Young: the Week 3 start/sit call

Recent games

  • LaMelo Ball: 31.7 fantasy points a game over his last 8 of 2026-27, against 35.4 on the board.
  • Trae Young: 39.7 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 35.1 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is LaMelo Ball playing tonight? · Is Trae Young playing tonight?

Rookie cards: LaMelo Ball

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, LaMelo Ball or Trae Young?

    Points leagues: LaMelo Ball. 35.4 fantasy points per game against 35.1, 53rd on our board to 55th. 9-cat leagues: LaMelo Ball again, -0.0 in summed z-scores against -0.9 (60th to 89th).

  • Who wins more categories, LaMelo Ball or Trae Young?

    Category by category, LaMelo Ball is ahead in 3 (REB, STL and 3PM) and Trae Young in 5 (PTS, AST, FG%, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 3, LaMelo Ball or Trae Young?

    LaMelo Ball plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Trae Young 4. For that week alone, start LaMelo Ball: 141.6 projected fantasy points to 140.4 for Trae Young.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number