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Paul George vs Scottie Barnes: who to start in Week 2

Paul George plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Scottie Barnes 3. For that week alone, start Paul George: 140.5 projected fantasy points to 123.8 for Scottie Barnes. Over the season, Scottie Barnes leads in both formats: 41.3 fantasy points a game to 35.1, and 19th against 20th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 26, 2:30 PM ET.

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Paul George
SFPFSGBOSage 36
Points leagues
#49
35.1 FP/G, slot 5.01, $20
9-cat leagues
#20
+2.8 z, slot 2.08, $31
Scottie Barnes
PFSFTORage 25
Points leagues
#18
41.3 FP/G, slot 2.06, $29
9-cat leagues
#19
+3.0 z, slot 2.07, $33

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Scottie Barnes. 41.3 fantasy points per game against 35.1, 18th on our board to 49th.

9-cat leagues: Scottie Barnes again, +3.0 in summed z-scores against +2.8 (19th to 20th).

Category by category, Paul George is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, 3PM and TO) and Scottie Barnes in 5 (REB, AST, BLK, FG% and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Scottie Barnes produces more: 45.0 fantasy points to 41.0, on 33.0 minutes a night against 30.8. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Paul George plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Scottie Barnes 3. For that week alone, start Paul George: 140.5 projected fantasy points to 123.8 for Scottie Barnes.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gamePaul GeorgeScottie Barnes
Fantasy points per game35.141.3
Minutes30.833.0
PointsPTS18.417.9
ReboundsREB5.47.5
AssistsAST3.55.7
StealsSTL1.91.5
BlocksBLK0.41.4
Threes3PM3.00.8
Field goal %FG%44.8%47.3%
Free throw %FT%82.8%84.1%
TurnoversTO1.82.9
Games, 2025-263780

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Paul GeorgeScottie Barnes
Fantasy points41.045.0
Points21.519.6
Rebounds6.38.2
Assists4.06.2
Steals2.21.7
Blocks0.41.5
Threes3.50.9
Turnovers2.13.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryPaul GeorgeScottie Barnes
PointsPTS+0.4+0.3
ReboundsREB-0.1+0.8
AssistsAST-0.1+1.0
StealsSTL+2.3+1.3
BlocksBLK-0.6+1.5
Threes3PM+1.4-0.9
Field goal percentageFG%-0.9-0.3
Free throw percentageFT%+0.3+0.5
TurnoversTO+0.1-1.2
Total+2.8+3.0

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, assists, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Paul George.

PuntPaul GeorgeScottie Barnes
PTS+2.2 (#15)+2.7 (#9)
REB+2.9 (#18)+2.2 (#22)
AST+2.6 (#17)+1.9 (#24)
STL+0.4 (#51)+1.7 (#26)
BLK+3.4 (#16)+1.5 (#31)
3PM+1.2 (#35)+3.7 (#9)
FG%+3.8 (#11)+3.2 (#21)
FT%+2.3 (#22)+2.5 (#18)
TO+2.6 (#30)+4.2 (#15)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)

  • Paul George: 4 games (Mon CHI, Tue BKN, Fri CHI, Sun @ORL), 1 back-to-back.
  • Scottie Barnes: 3 games (Wed ORL, Fri ORL, Sun @LAL).

Every team's games this week · Week 2 streamers

Recent games

  • Paul George: 46.0 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 35.1 on the board.
  • Scottie Barnes: 37.7 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 41.3 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Paul George playing tonight? · Is Scottie Barnes playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Paul George, Scottie Barnes

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Paul George or Scottie Barnes?

    Points leagues: Scottie Barnes. 41.3 fantasy points per game against 35.1, 18th on our board to 49th. 9-cat leagues: Scottie Barnes again, +3.0 in summed z-scores against +2.8 (19th to 20th).

  • Who wins more categories, Paul George or Scottie Barnes?

    Category by category, Paul George is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, 3PM and TO) and Scottie Barnes in 5 (REB, AST, BLK, FG% and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 2, Paul George or Scottie Barnes?

    Paul George plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Scottie Barnes 3. For that week alone, start Paul George: 140.5 projected fantasy points to 123.8 for Scottie Barnes.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number