Start Jahmyr Gibbs or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 4:46 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Jahmyr Gibbs over Aaron Jones Sr.

Start

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · DET · vs GB

Market projects: 25.7; fantasy pts
GB D vs RB: 26.2; 3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 100 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 77%; Through Week 5
Target share: 18%; Through Week 5

Sit

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs IND

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 23.9; 6th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 95 of 100 at RB

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Jahmyr Gibbs?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 281 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (25.5 a game over 11 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 168 (15.3 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jahmyr Gibbs over Aaron Jones Sr.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jahmyr Gibbs over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jahmyr Gibbs at 25.7 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.4, a gap of 9.2. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Jahmyr Gibbs at ADP 1 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 110.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 25.7 fantasy points for Jahmyr Gibbs, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jahmyr Gibbs is 94 rushing yards, 40 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 1.3 touchdowns (13, 10, 10 and 13 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.7 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 0.7 touchdowns (13 market sources).

That puts Jahmyr Gibbs 9.2 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jahmyr Gibbs and DET host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 26.2 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 1-2 touchdowns a game against GB and caught passes for 34 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 23.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 96 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND and caught passes for 45 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Jahmyr Gibbs has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jahmyr Gibbs is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Jahmyr Gibbs played 77 percent of DET snaps, took 82 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 50 percent of the red zone chances.

Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 2 against BUF: 54 of 65 snaps, 16 carries for 52 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 61 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 3 against NYJ: 45 of 65 snaps, 20 carries for 99 yards, 8 targets and 7 catches for 65 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 4 against CAR: 62 of 71 snaps, 15 carries for 46 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 5 against ARI: 46 of 66 snaps, 25 carries for 151 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jahmyr Gibbs played 17 games for DET and scored 366.9 PPR points, 21.6 a game, finishing RB3.

He ran 243 times for 1223 yards and 13 touchdowns, and caught 77 of 94 targets for 616 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Jahmyr Gibbs?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 281 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (25.5 a game over 11 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 168 (15.3 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jahmyr Gibbs over Aaron Jones Sr.
Should I drop Jahmyr Gibbs for Aaron Jones Sr.?
No. Keep Jahmyr Gibbs: he projects 281 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (25.5 a game over 11 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 168 (15.3 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jahmyr Gibbs over Aaron Jones Sr.