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Start Josh Jacobs or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 22, 6:11 PM ET.

Start Josh Jacobs over Aaron Jones Sr.

Jacobs projects lower, 11.3 to 11.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 78 for Jacobs, 110 for Jones.

Start

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects
11.3
fantasy pts
DET D vs RB
18.7
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Sit

RB · MIN · vs IND

Market projects
11.6
fantasy pts
IND D vs RB
23.9
6th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
High
92 of 100 at RB

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Our Week 7 call

Start Josh Jacobs over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Josh Jacobs at 11.3 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 11.6, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Josh Jacobs still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 78 against 110, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.6 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 41 rushing yards, 15 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.6 touchdowns (4, 5, 5 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.3 fantasy points for Josh Jacobs, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Josh Jacobs is 50 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.6 touchdowns (11, 8, 10 and 12 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.3 points ahead of Josh Jacobs on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 23.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 96 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND and caught passes for 45 more yards.

Josh Jacobs and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 16 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Josh Jacobs is not on the injury report.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Josh Jacobs played 15 games for GB and scored 237.1 PPR points, 15.8 a game, finishing RB13.

He ran 234 times for 929 yards and 13 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 44 targets for 282 yards.

He was on the field for 59 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Josh Jacobs, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 13 of 47 snaps, 4 carries for 3 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 1.3 PPR points.

Josh Jacobs, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 28 of 72 snaps, 12 carries for 36 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 4.8 PPR points.

Josh Jacobs, Week 15 of 2025 against DEN: 36 of 66 snaps, 12 carries for 73 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards, 2 touchdowns, 23.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board