Start Woody Marks or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 22, 1:46 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Woody Marks

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs IND

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 23.9; 6th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 97 of 100 at RB

Sit

Woody Marks

RB · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects: 14.7; fantasy pts
NYG D vs RB: 21.6; 15th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 91 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 57%; Through Week 6
Target share: 8%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Woody Marks for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Woody Marks 83 (8.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Woody Marks.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Woody Marks in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.4 points and Woody Marks at 14.7, a gap of 1.7. Woody Marks's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 110 and Woody Marks at 151.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.7 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 0.6 touchdowns (13 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for Woody Marks, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Woody Marks is 53 rushing yards and 0.7 touchdowns (5 and 13 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 1.7 points ahead of Woody Marks on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 23.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 96 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND and caught passes for 45 more yards.

Woody Marks and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 21.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 15th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 108 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against NYG and caught passes for 22 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Woody Marks is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Woody Marks played 57 percent of HOU snaps, took 41 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 25 percent of the red zone chances.

Woody Marks, Week 3 against IND: 20 of 54 snaps, 5 carries for 15 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Woody Marks, Week 4 against DAL: 24 of 55 snaps, 6 carries for 22 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Woody Marks, Week 5 against TEN: 56 of 66 snaps, 15 carries for 62 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 23 yards.

Woody Marks, Week 6 against JAX: 49 of 63 snaps, 15 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 25 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Woody Marks played 16 games for HOU and scored 151.1 PPR points, 9.4 a game, finishing RB29.

He ran 196 times for 703 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 36 targets for 208 yards.

He was on the field for 53 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Woody Marks for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Woody Marks 83 (8.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Woody Marks.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Woody Marks?
No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Woody Marks 83 (8.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Woody Marks.