Start Trevor Lawrence or Aaron Rodgers? Week 8

Updated Oct 28, 8:36 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers

Start

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · vs IND

Market projects: 17.9; fantasy pts
IND D vs QB: 18.1; 12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 84 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 6

Sit

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · vs CLE

Market projects: 16.1; fantasy pts
CLE D vs QB: 15.4; 8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 19 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 99%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Trevor Lawrence?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Aaron Rodgers 131 (14.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers, 17.9 to 16.1 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 17.9 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.1, a gap of 1.8. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Trevor Lawrence at ADP 97 and Aaron Rodgers at 231.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.1 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 219 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (8, 10 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.9 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 245 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (14, 14, 13 and 13 market sources).

That puts Trevor Lawrence 1.8 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

Aaron Rodgers and PIT host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 15.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 221 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Trevor Lawrence and JAX host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 18.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 227 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Aaron Rodgers played 99 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 286 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Through Week 6, Trevor Lawrence played 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 200 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 3 against NE: 59 of 62 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Trevor Lawrence?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Aaron Rodgers 131 (14.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers, 17.9 to 16.1 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Aaron Rodgers?
No. Keep Trevor Lawrence: he projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Aaron Rodgers 131 (14.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers, 17.9 to 16.1 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers?