Start Dak Prescott or Trevor Lawrence? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 8:26 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence

Start

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · vs ARI

Market projects: 18.0; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB: 22.7; 3rd most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 91 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 7

Sit

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · vs IND

Market projects: 16.7; recent weeks avg
IND D vs QB: 18.1; 12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 84 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Trevor Lawrence?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Dak Prescott 162 (18.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Dak Prescott at 18.0 points and Trevor Lawrence at 16.7, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Dak Prescott this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (18.3, 18.3 and 17.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence this week yet, so his 16.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (16.8 and 16.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Dak Prescott at ADP 64 and Trevor Lawrence at 97.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Dak Prescott yet. His market-based projections were 18.3, 18.3 and 17.4 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence yet. His market-based projections were 16.8 and 16.5 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 16.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Dak Prescott 1.3 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Dak Prescott and DAL host ARI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 244 yards and 2.4 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Trevor Lawrence and JAX host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 18.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 227 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Dak Prescott has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 293 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 4 against HOU: 78 of 78 snaps, 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 5 against TB: 60 of 60 snaps, 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 7 against PHI: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Through Week 6, Trevor Lawrence played 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 200 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 3 against NE: 59 of 62 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Trevor Lawrence?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Dak Prescott 162 (18.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence. So make the move after his Week 8 game.
Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Dak Prescott?
No. Keep Trevor Lawrence: he projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Dak Prescott 162 (18.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence.