Start Trevor Lawrence or Bo Nix? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix

Start

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · vs IND

Market projects: 16.7; recent weeks avg
IND D vs QB: 18.1; 12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 84 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 6

Sit

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · vs KC

Market projects: 15.8; recent weeks avg
KC D vs QB: 13.0; 3rd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 38 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Bo Nix for Trevor Lawrence?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 148 (16.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 16.7 points and Bo Nix at 15.8, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence this week yet, so his 16.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (16.8 and 16.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 15.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (16.3, 14.9 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Trevor Lawrence at ADP 97 and Bo Nix at 116.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence yet. His market-based projections were 16.8 and 16.5 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 16.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 14.9 and 16.3 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 15.8, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Trevor Lawrence 0.9 points ahead of Bo Nix on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Trevor Lawrence and JAX host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 18.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 227 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

Bo Nix and DEN host KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

KC allowed 13.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 230 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against KC, with an interception a game.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 6, Trevor Lawrence played 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 200 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 3 against NE: 59 of 62 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Through Week 7, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 234 times and threw an average of 5.7 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bo Nix for Trevor Lawrence?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 148 (16.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.
Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Bo Nix?
No. Keep Trevor Lawrence: he projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 148 (16.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.

Should I drop Bo Nix?