Start Ted Hurst III or Adonai Mitchell? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 4:46 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell

Start

Ted Hurst III

WR · TB · vs ATL

Market projects: 5.3; recent weeks avg
ATL D vs WR: 34.4; 11th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 51 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 56%; Through Week 7
Target share: 9%; Through Week 7

Sit

Adonai Mitchell

WR · NYJ · vs LV

Market projects: 5.2; fantasy pts
LV D vs WR: 31.4; 16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 49 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 67%; Through Week 7
Target share: 20%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Ted Hurst III?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ted Hurst III projects 40 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 9 games), Adonai Mitchell 32 (3.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Ted Hurst III at 5.3 points and Adonai Mitchell at 5.2, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Ted Hurst III this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (4.3, 3.5 and 8.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Ted Hurst III yet. His market-based projections were 4.3, 3.5 and 8.0 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ted Hurst III is 0.2 touchdowns (12 market sources).

Player markets imply 5.2 fantasy points for Adonai Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Adonai Mitchell is 23 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).

That puts Ted Hurst III 0.1 points ahead of Adonai Mitchell on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Ted Hurst III and TB host ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 34.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 11th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 170 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against ATL.

Adonai Mitchell and NYJ host LV on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LV allowed 31.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 150 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against LV.

By points allowed to the position, Ted Hurst III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ted Hurst III is not on the injury report.

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Ted Hurst III played 56 percent of TB snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 14 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Ted Hurst III, Week 7 against CAR: 35 of 63 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 7, Adonai Mitchell played 67 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 45 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 1 against TEN: 46 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 60 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 7 against MIA: 26 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Ted Hurst III?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ted Hurst III projects 40 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 9 games), Adonai Mitchell 32 (3.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell.
Should I drop Ted Hurst III for Adonai Mitchell?
No. Keep Ted Hurst III: he projects 40 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 9 games), Adonai Mitchell 32 (3.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?Should I drop Ted Hurst III?